Vanderbilt vs. Florida Prediction

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators, 11/9/19 Predictions & Odds

Can No. 10 Florida find enough offense today to cover a big spread at home against Vanderbilt at Noon ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

143 Vanderbilt vs. 144 Florida

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Noon ET – Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

TV: ESPN

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida is favored at home, as the Gators are getting odds of -27 points against Vanderbilt. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 49 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Florida as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Gators fall to Bulldogs

Florida is coming off a 24-17 loss to Georgia last week in Jacksonville. The Gators have lost two of their last three games to fall to 7-2 on the season and 4-2 in the SEC. Florida is 5-4 against the spread and 6-3 with the under.

The Gators are a solid defensive team, allowing just 16.7 points and 331.7 yards per game. Offensively, Florida is putting up 30.8 points and 404.2 yards per game this year. Kyle Trask is leading the offense with 1,648 yards passing with 16 touchdowns and just four interceptions. Lamical Perine is the team’s leading rusher with 491 yards and four scores while Kyle Pitts is the leading receiver with 39 catches for 469 yards and four scores.

Vandy getting roughed up

The Vanderbilt Commdores are having another rough season, as they fell to 2-6 on the season last weekend with a 24-7 loss at South Carolina. Vandy is 1-4 in the SEC, 1-7 against the spread and 6-2 with the under.

The Commodores are among the bottom fifth of the nation in both offense and defense. They are giving up 32.4 points and 454 yards per game on defense while amassing just 17 points and 317.8 yards per game on offense. Riley Neal has thrown for 1,193 yards and six touchdowns this year, but he is questionable for this game due to an undisclosed injury. Deuce Wallace will go if Neal can’t. Wallace has just 217 passing yards with three interceptions. Ke’Shawn Vaughn is the team’s leading rusher with 790 yards and six touchdowns while Kalija Lipscomb is the leading receiver with 32 catches for 377 yards and two touchdowns.

College Football Betting Trends

Florida

The Gators have covered the spread in four straight against a losing team and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

Vanderbilt

The Commodores are 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games overall and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a failed cover.

Prediction:

Florida has won five straight meetings with Vandy, but the two have split their last six meetings at the betting window. The Commodores have been bad this year, but Florida hasn’t been a team to blow people out. They beat South Carolina by 11, Auburn by 11, Kentucky by eight and Miami by four. Vanderbilt isn’t good, but I just have questions about the Florida offense being able to pull away from an opponent. Vandy has just one loss by this amount this year and that was to the high-powered LSU offense and even that was just 28 points.

College Football Week 11 Prediction: Vanderbilt +27

Related: Vanderbilt vs. Florida Total Prediction

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