UConn vs. Cincinnati Prediction
Will No. 20 Cincinnati be able to cover a lofty spread at home when the Bearcats play host to Connecticut at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
133 Connecticut vs. 134 Cincinnati
Saturday, November 9, 2019
3:30PM ET – Nippert Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Cincinnati is the clear favorite in this game, as the Bearcats are getting odds of -35 points against Connecticut. The over/under total is listed at 54 points. The public betting currently has 79 percent going on Cincinnati as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Connecticut has been a mess most of the season and the Huskies are coming off a 56-10 loss at home to Navy last weekend. The Huskies are now 2-7 on the season, 0-5 in the AAC, 4-5 against the spread and 5-4 with the under.
UConn is among the worst in the country in both offense and defense. The Huskies are giving up 39.8 points and 446.3 yards per game defensively, while averaging just 20.3 points and 340.7 yards per contest. Jack Zergiotis is leading the offense with 1,079 passing yards and five touchdowns, but has eight interceptions. Kevin Mensah is the team’s leading rusher with 803 yards and nine touchdowns while Cameron Ross has 46 catches for 516 yards and two scores.
Bearcats survive at ECU
The Cincinnati Bearcats won their sixth straight game last weekend, but it was a close call. They defeated ECU 46-43 on the road to improve to 7-1 on the season. Cincy is 4-0 in the AAC, 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 with the under.
Cincinnati has been respectable on defense, as the Bearcats are giving up 23.2 points and 381.4 yards per game. Offensively, Cincinnati is averaging 30.8 points and 393.6 yards per contest. Quarterback Desmond Ridder has been leading the team this year with 1,560 passing yards and 15 touchdowns, while also rushing for 323 yards and a score. Michael Warren II is the leading rusher with 639 yards and seven touchdowns while Josiah Deguara has 23 catches for 369 yards and five touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Bearcats are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, but just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games in November.
The Huskies are 16-37-2 against the spread in their last 55 road games and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a winning team.
Cincinnati has won seven of its last eight against Connecticut, going 6-2 against the spread in those eight games. It seems pretty certain that UConn isn’t going to score much in this game, the question is will the Bearcats be able to put up enough points to cover this big spread. The Bearcats aren’t an offensive power, but UConn is also a disaster on defense. Cincinnati is coming off a scare last week on the road and returning home should get them back into the right headspace. I look for the Bearcats to come out today looking to make a statement and dominate this game from start to finish.
College Football Week 11 Prediction: Cincinnati -35