Bowling Green vs. Akron Prediction

Bowling Green vs. Akron College Football Week 11 Predictions 11/9/16

Will Akron cover as a significant home favorite tonight when the Zips host Bowling Green at 8:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, Akron is now a 9-point home favorite over Bowling Green after opening as an 8.5-point favorite earlier in the week. As for the total, the number opened at 71.5 and that's where it currently sits.

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BOWLING GREEN KEY TRENDS: The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games overall and are just 2-5 at the betting window in their last seven games coming off a loss. They're also winless at 0-5 against the number in their last five games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous contest.

AKRON KEY TRENDS: The Zips have failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven games overall and are just 1-4 against the number in their last five home games. They're also 6-20 at the betting window in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous contest but are 4-1 against the number in their last five games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

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OUR PREDICTION: Bowling Green has dominated this series in recent years but the Falcons have also been a significantly better team in season's past. The only thing they do marginally well is throw the ball, as they rank 45th in the country in passing yards per game at 253.9. But their defense is a mess, ranking 122nd in total yards allowed per game (505.3), 115th in passing yards allowed (278.2), 111th in rushing yards allowed (227.1), and 128th in points allowed (45.1). Akron's defense can be just as faulty but the Zips are at home for the final time in 2016 and should play more inspired than a Bowling Green team that is just looking to get through its final three games of a horrible season.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 PICK: AKRON ZIPS -9

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