UCF vs. Tulsa Prediction
Can UCF handle being a multi-score favorite on the road when the Knights take on Tulsa this evening at 7PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
113 UCF vs. 114 Tulsa
Friday, November 8, 2019
7PM ET – Chapman Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, UCF is favored on the road in this game, as the Knights are getting odds of -17 points against Tulsa. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 69.5 points. The public betting currently has 68 percent going on UCF as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Tulsa falling apart
The Tulsa Golden Hurricanes are riding a five-game losing streak right now following a 38-26 loss at Tulane last weekend. The Hurricanes are now 2-7 on the season, 0-5 in the AAC, 5-4 against the spread and 5-4 with the under.
Tulsa hasn’t been too bad on offense, averaging 24.4 points and 403.8 yards per game. However, the defense is allowing 33 points and 407.3 yards per contest. Zach Smith has thrown for 2,440 yards and 12 touchdowns to lead the offense while Shamari Brooks has 753 rushing yards with five touchdowns. Keylon Stokes is the leading receiver with 47 catches for 773 yards and five touchdowns.
UCF back on track
After losing two games in three weeks a month ago, UCF has bounced back with a three-game winning streak. That includes a 44-29 win at home over Houston last weekend. The Knights are now 7-2 on the season, 4-1 in the AAC, 4-5 against the spread and 6-3 with the over.
UCF continues to put up big points this year, as the Knights are averaging 46.3 points per game while putting up 551 yards per outing. Defensively, UCF is allowing 22.4 points and 348.1 yards per contest. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 2,516 yards and 23 touchdowns to lead the offense. Otis Anderson is the leading rusher with 543 yards and three scores while Gabriel Davis is the top receiver with 53 catches for 962 yards and 10 touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Golden Hurricanes are 16-7 against the spread in their last 23 games against a winning team and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a failed cover.
The Knights are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 road games, but just 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.
Tulsa has actually won six of its last seven meetings with UCF, going 5-2 against the spread in those seven games. Tulsa hasn’t done well in conference games, but they have only lost one by 17 points or more. UCF has been able to heat up with wins, but two of their last three wins were by less than 17. A shorter week, with a road trip included, is likely to lead to some poor execution at times. I think the Knights will be able to win and put up points, but I expect Tulsa to also have success scoring at home. The Hurricanes scored 41 against Memphis just a few weeks ago.
College Football Week 11 Prediction: Tulsa +17