Texas vs. Texas Tech Total Prediction
Coming off a high-scoring, back-and-forth affair with Oklahoma, will the Texas Tech Red Raiders cash yet another over when they host the Texas Longhorns at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday night?
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 10
Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Longhorns are 2-point favorites to beat the Red Raiders. The total, meanwhile, sits at 62 points. As of this writing, 62% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Longhorns.
Texas HC Tom Herman said Monday that sophomore QB Sam Ehlinger (shoulder) is "still not fully healed" from an injury he suffered in mid-October. Ehlinger (6'3/225), who injured his right (throwing) shoulder early in Texas' Oct. 13 win over Baylor, completed 25-of-36 passes for 354 yards and three touchdowns in the team's Nov. 2 loss to West Virginia. The hope for the sophomore passer was that Texas' bye the week of Oct. 20 would help him get back to full strength, but that hasn't been the case. With Ehlinger playing at less than 100 percent, the Texas offensive line is under even more pressure to keep their quarterback from taking any hits in the Nov. 10 matchup with Texas Tech.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech freshman QB Alan Bowman (lung) has been released from the hospital and will rejoin team activities on Thursday. This is the second four-day stint for the partially collapsed lung he suffered against West Virginia in late September. It's obviously a positive that he's been released, and hopefully this is the last time he'll have to spend time in the hospital for the issue. Again, all obvious, but worth stating. His status for Saturday against Texas is obviously in doubt, and in doubt might be too optimistic. The important thing is for the freshman signal-caller to get healthy.
The under is 29-10 in the Longhorns’ last 39 games versus an opponent that owns a winning record.
The over is 4-1 in the Red Raiders’ last five conference games and cashed in 21 of their previous 29 home games.
Despite Texas Tech’s high-scoring games, the under offers a ton of value on Saturday night. For starters, the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams and is 4-0 in the last four meetings. The under is also 10-3 in the Longhorns’ last 13 road games, is 40-16 in their last 56 conference games and 45-22 in their last 67 games overall. But the main reason why the under has value is because Jett Duffey is expected to start for the Red Raiders. When he came in for Bowman last week in the loss to Oklahoma, the Tech offense grinded to a halt, at least for Red Raider standards. I do not see this game turning into the high-scoring affair that the OU-Tech matchup was a week ago.
College Football Prediction: Texas/Texas Tech under 62