Northwestern vs. Iowa Total Pick
Are No. 21 Iowa and Northwestern set to have a low-scoring, physical Big Ten battle when the two conference foes meet up this Saturday at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, November 10, 2018
3:30PM ET – Kinnick Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Iowa is favored at home, as the Hawkeyes are getting odds of -11 points against Northwestern. The over/under total for the game is currently listed at 44 points. The public betting for this game currently has 81 percent going on Northwestern on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Northwestern in driver’s seat
Despite coming off a 31-21 loss at home to Notre Dame last weekend, Northwestern is still in the driver’s seat in the Big Ten West right now as they sit at 5-4 overall and 5-1 in the Big Ten. They have a 1-game lead on both Purdue and Wisconsin right now. Northwestern is 4-3-2 against the spread and 5-4 with the over.
The Wildcats haven’t been dominant on defense, but have still been pretty solid. They are giving up 24.4 points and 377.6 yards per game. Their pass defense is giving up just 234 yards per game. When it comes to offense, the Cats are averaging 24.7 points and 357.7 yards per game. That is done without much of a ground game as they have been injury-plagued at the position all season. Jeremy Larkin is still the leading rusher for Northwestern with 346 yards and he hasn’t played since Week 3. Clayton Thorson has thrown for 2,213 yards and 11 touchdowns to lead the offense, but also has 10 interceptions. Flynn Nagel has caught 63 passes for 744 yards and two scores.
Iowa on skid
Iowa returns home this weekend after back-to-back road losses to Penn State and Purdue by a combined eight points. Iowa is now 6-3 overall and 3-3 in the Big Ten. The Hawkeyes are 6-3 against the spread and 6-3 with the over. Iowa has hit the over in six of its last seven games.
The Hawkeyes are strong defensively this year, allowing just 18.6 points and 283.7 yards per game. Iowa is holding opposing teams to just 86.2 rushing yards per game. When it comes to offense, Iowa is putting up 30.4 points and 391.6 yards per game. Quarterback Nate Stanley has thrown for 2,039 yards and 17 touchdowns with eight interceptions. TJ Hockenson is his leading receiver with 32 catches for 526 yards and four touchdowns while Toren Young and Mekhi Sargent have combined for 893 rushing yards and eight scores.
College Football Betting Trends
Northwestern is 6-1-1 with the over in its last eight road games and 5-2-1 with the over in its last eight games following a loss.
Iowa is 6-1 with the over in its last seven conference games but 9-4 with the under in its last 13 home games.
This is a tough call. My initial instincts say this should be another Big Ten grinder that won’t feature many points, but both teams have been pretty good about scoring this season. Northwestern has scored over 20 points in four of its last five while Iowa has posted 23 or more in five straight. While that’s still not enough to hit the over, I think the offense will be more on display than many might think. Northwestern’s defense is tough, but has been scored upon consistently. The Iowa defense is better, but Thorson has managed to move the ball on tougher opponents. There only needs to be a few breakout plays for the over to hit and I think it will.
College Football Prediction: Northwestern/Iowa Over 44