Toledo vs. Ohio Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Toledo is favored on the road, as the Rockets are getting odds of -3.5 points against the Bobcats. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 65 points. Toledo has won nine of the last 10 meetings with Ohio, but the two have split the spread over their last 10 meetings. The public is currently putting 70 percent of the wagers on Toledo on the road. Tonight’s game takes place from Peden Stadium in Athens, Ohio and will air live on ESPN2.
Toledo is on a five-game winning streak following a 27-17 win over Northern Illinois last week at home. The Rockets are now 8-1 overall and 5-0 in the MAC while posting a 5-4 record against the spread. Toledo has covered in four straight games. The Rockets have a great offense, as they are putting up 39 points and 517.8 yards per game. Logan Woodside has thrown for 2,656 yards and 19 touchdowns this season with only two interceptions. Terry Swanson has run for 844 yards and 11 touchdowns while Diontae Thompson has caught 46 passes for 859 yards and eight scores. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 24.4 points and 370.9 yards per game.
Ohio is coming off a 45-28 win over Miami (Ohio) last week for its third straight win. The Bobcats are 7-2 overall and 4-1 in the MAC. Ohio is 7-2 against the spread as well, covering in all their wins. Ohio is putting up 41.2 points and 424.4 yards per contest on offense. The run game has been the strength, averaging 232.9 yards per game. A.J. Ouellette has 827 rushing yards and six touchdowns to lead the ground game while quarterback Nathan Rourke has run for 553 yards and 16 touchdowns while throwing for 1,504 yards and 13 scores. Defensively, Ohio is allowing just 25.7 points and 374.3 yards per game.
Toledo has been on a roll and looking good, but Ohio isn’t getting much respect for what it has been able to do this year. The Bobcats have a good balance of offense and defense and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 MAC games and home games. They also have covered against four straight winning teams. This series has favored the underdog, as the betting dog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. I like Ohio at home to make this a game to the very end. Toledo won’t be able to move the ball with ease tonight.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: OHIO +3.5