Arkansas vs. LSU Total Pick
Even though LSU has a dominant defense, will the over cash when the Tigers host Arkansas on Saturday afternoon?
Matchup: Arkansas (4-5) at LSU (6-3)
Line: LSU -16.5 (56)
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 56 points after hitting the board at 58. As for the point spread, LSU is a 16.5-point home favorite over Arkansas after hitting the board as a 17.5-point favorite.
Who is the Public Backing?
As of Wednesday morning, 57% of public bettors are still backing the Razorbacks despite the fact that they nearly just lost to a FCS opponent.
Key Betting Trends
Perhaps one reason why the public is backing Arkansas is because the Razorbacks have been a fantasy bet to cover against LSU in recent history. The Hogs are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games in Baton Rouge and have covered in eight of the last 10 meetings overall.
OUR PREDICTION: This is a bad, banged-up Arkansas football team. How does Costal Carolina score nearly 40 points against Bret Bielema’’s team last Saturday? Yikes.
Now, the perception is that LSU doesn’t have an offense. The Tigers only mustered 10 points a week ago in Tuscaloosa but that was against ‘Bama. Before that 10-point effort, LSU hung 40 points on Ole Miss in the Grove and 27 points at home against a fantastic Auburn defense. Don’t let LSU’s 10-point finish last week keep you from taking the over this Saturday in Baton Rouge.
The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams when LSU is the host. The over is also 6-1 in the Razorbacks’ last seven games overall, is 4-1 in their last five conference games, and is 9-4 in their last 13 games coming off a win. On the other side, the over is 9-3-1 in the Tigers’ last 13 home games versus a team with a losing road record and is 6-2 in their last eight games against an opponent that owns a losing record.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 PICK: ARKANSAS/LSU OVER 56