Wisconsin vs. Penn State Total Pick
Will No. 20 Penn State stop the bleeding this weekend when the Nittany Lions play host to Wisconsin on Saturday at Noon ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, November 10, 2018
Noon ET – Beaver Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Penn State is favored at home, as the Nittany Lions are getting odds of -9 points against Wisconsin. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 55.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 51 percent going on Penn State at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Wisconsin in a funk
Wisconsin has won three of its last five, but the three wins came against the worst in the Big Ten while the losses were on the road to Northwestern and Michigan, both by double figures. The Badgers are 6-3 overall, 4-2 in the Big Ten, 2-7 against the spread and 5-4 with the over. Wisconsin has hit the under in its last two.
Wisconsin has been pretty steady on defense this season, allowing just 20.9 points and 352.8 yards per game. Their pass defense is allowing only 193 yards per contest. Offensively, Wisconsin is putting up 31 points and 447.2 yards per game. The Badgers have a dominant ground attack, putting up 273 yards per game on the ground. Jonathan Taylor is leading the offense with 1,363 yards and 11 touchdowns. Alex Hornibrook has thrown for 1,343 yards and 11 touchdowns, but he is doubtful for this game with a concussion. Jack Coan could fill in for him again. He has thrown for 222 yards and two touchdowns this season.
Penn State hammered by Michigan
Penn State suffered a 42-7 loss at Michigan last week for its third loss in five games. The Nittany Lions haven’t looked terribly good in any of the five contests. Penn State is now 6-3 overall, 3-3 in the Big Ten, 5-4 against the spread and 7-2 with the over. They have hit the over in three straight.
The Nittany Lions are moving the ball pretty well for the season, averaging 37.2 points and 429.1 yards per game on offense. Trace McSorley has thrown for 1,711 yards and 12 touchdowns with five interceptions while also rushing for 611 yards and nine scores. Miles Sanders is the leading rusher on the team with 848 yards and eight touchdowns while KJ Hamler has caught 28 passes for 517 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is giving up 24.4 points and 388.6 yards per game. They are giving up nearly 175 rushing yards per game.
College Football Betting Trends
Wisconsin is 9-2 with the over in its last 11 games following a failed cover and 7-3 with the over in its last 10 road games.
Penn State is 11-2 with the over in its last 13 games in November and 13-3 with the over in its last 16 games overall.
Trends certainly like the over, but I like the under in this game. Wisconsin is one dimensional on offense. While the Badgers do that dimension well, it limits just how potent they can be on offense. Penn State also has been somewhat one dimensional as McSorley isn’t throwing the ball terribly well. The Nittany Lions face a physical defensive team in Wisconsin that should be able to put up some resistance. I think this becomes a defensive battle and somewhat of an ugly football game.
College Football Prediction: Wisconsin/Penn State Under 55.5