TCU vs. West Virginia Total Prediction

TCU Horned Frogs vs. West Virginia Mountaineers, 11/7/18 Predictions & Odds

The TCU Horned Frogs continue to struggle offensively and they’ll need their defense to step up once again as they take on the West Virginia Mountaineers at 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday. Is the betting total set too high for this Big 12 matchup?

Game Snapshot

137 TCU Horned Frogs at 138 West Virginia Mountaineers

12:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 10

Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Mountaineers are 12.5-point favorites to beat the Horned Frogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 56 points. As of this writing, 64% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Mountaineers.

TCU Horned Frogs

TCU sophomore QB Michael Collins completed 23-of-33 passes for 351 yards, a touchdown and an interception and ran for 33 yards and two touchdowns in Saturday's 27-26 loss to Kansas. This was Collins' first start following Shawn Robinson's season-ending shoulder injury. He wasn't terrible, but he and his team did fritter this thing away with a 2-0 turnover disadvantage and some poor situational plays. Still, Collins averaged over 10 yards per attempt and did some damage on the ground. He may turn out to not be a downgrade on Shawn Robinson.

West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia senior QB Will Grier completed 28-of-42 passes for 346 yards and three touchdowns in Saturday's 42-41 win over Texas. Grier (6'2/223) and the Mountaineers kept pace in the wild shootout affair -- the teams combined for 1,098 yards of total offense -- but it looked like their fine efforts might fall just short after Texas scored a touchdown to go up 41-34 with just 2:34 remaining in the fourth quarter. The senior gunslinger then proceeded to lead WVU to glory on the team's subsequent drive, hitting Gary Jennings on a beautiful, perfectly thrown 33-yard touchdown down the middle of the end zone to pull to within one. Rather than try for the game-tying extra point, they instead went for the go-ahead two-point conversation -- and notched it. Just a thrilling game. One thing to note moving forward, Grier was dealing with a leg injury during the contest. We will monitor that during the upcoming practice week. The Mountaineers will look to lay a crooked number on a listless TCU squad next weekend.

Betting Trends

TCU

The under is 4-0 in the Horned Frogs’ last four road games versus an opponent with a winning home record.

West Virginia

The under is also 7-1 in the Mountaineers’ last eight games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous contest.

Prediction

The under is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings and I see the under cashing again on Saturday when these two teams met. TCU is a mess offensively but Gary Patterson continues to put together quality defensive game plans and should have one for Grier and Dana Holgorsen this weekend. The under is 13-3 in the Horned Frogs’ last 16 road games, is 21-7 in their last 28 conference games and is 13-6 in their last 19 games overall. On the other side, the under is 5-2 in the Mountaineers’ last seven home games and WVU should have zero problems shutting down TCU’s offense.

College Football Prediction: TCU/West Virginia under 56

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