Mississippi State vs. Alabama Total Pick

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide, 11/7/18 Predictions & Odds

The Alabama Crimson Tide shut out LSU last Saturday in Baton Rouge but returns home this weekend to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs at 3:30 p.m. ET. Will the Tide defense also shut down the Bulldogs?

Game Snapshot

181 Mississippi State Bulldogs at 182 Alabama Crimson Tide

3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 10

Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Crimson Tide are 24-point favorites to beat the Bulldogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 52.5 points. As of this writing, 65% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Crimson Tide.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State redshirt senior QB Nick Fitzgerald completed 17-of-28 passes for 243 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 107 yards in Saturday's 45-3 win over Louisiana Tech. Fitzgerald (6'5/230) came out firing, tossing three of his four touchdown passes in the first quarter before finishing up with his fourth and final scoring toss in the second quarter. Mississippi State hit the locker room holding a 31-3 lead. The redshirt senior signal-caller had just three previous contests of multiple touchdown passes entering the weekend. While this was a nice performance against an outclassed team, we are not expecting Fitzgerald to do much of anything against Alabama next weekend.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama sophomore QB Tua Tagovailoa tweaked his sprained right knee in Saturday's game against LSU. Tagovailoa said the injury happened on his 44-yard touchdown run and "explained, "I know when I hit the 30 [yard line], my leg gave out, and I was just going off of momentum and trying to gallop into the end zone, and I made it, thank God." He also said it's "just dinged up" and that it isn't serious. Tagovailoa looks to be fairly healthy is locking up his Heisman campaign with each game he plays. Up next is Mississippi State.

Betting Trends

Mississippi State

The under is 7-0 in the Bulldogs’ last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Alabama

The under is 19-6-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 26 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

Prediction

The under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Tuscaloosa. The under is also 5-0 in the Bulldogs’ last five road games, is 17-5 in their last 22 games overall and is 46-22-1 in their last 69 conference games. Alabama’s defense responded to the chatter that this is the worst defensive unit under Nick Saban by shutting out LSU last weekend. The Bulldogs were nearly shut out in Baton Rouge a couple of weeks ago so I wouldn’t be surprised if Mississippi State was held to under 10 points by ‘Bama as well. I love the under here, especially with Tua also banged-up still.

 

College Football Prediction: Mississippi State/Alabama under 52.5

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