Duke vs. North Carolina Free Pick

College Football Week 10 Duke vs. North Carolina Picks & Predictions

One week after suffering a devastating loss, can Duke pull off an upset of its own when it visits North Carolina at 12:00PM ET today?

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The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Mybookie.ag, the Tar Heels are 7.5-point home favorites versus the Blue Devils while the total currently sits at 59 points after opening at 53.5.

The Records

Duke is 6-2 on the year and 5-3 against the spread despite failing to cover in last week's loss to Miami. North Carolina, meanwhile, is 7-1 on the season and 5-3 against the number in 2015, which includes a 3-2 ATS mark at home.

The Pick

This line seems like an overreaction to what happened last week. Before Duke lost 30-27 on a controversial kickoff return for touchdown versus Miami, North Carolina handled Pittsburgh 26-19 at Heinz Field. So the Blue Devils lose a game that the officials screwed up on the final play and the Tar Heels beat a solid but far-from-dominant Panthers squad and now UNC is favored by over a touchdown? Assuming Duke doesn't suffer a hangover from the Miami game, the Blue Devils should, at the very least, keep things close today in Chapel Hill. They rank ninth in the nation in total yards allowed (295.0) per game and are 11th in points allowed (16.1). Duke will stay within a touchdown.


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