Wisconsin vs. Northwestern Pick
Can No. 8 Wisconsin expect another physical battle when it hits the road to face Northwestern on Saturday at Noon ET?
This game will be taking place from Ryan Field in Evanston, IL and air on ABC. According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Wisconsin is favored on the road in this game, as the Badgers are getting odds of -7 points against the Wildcats. The over/under total for the contest has been set at just 42 points. Northwestern has actually won two straight over Wisconsin and the two have hit the under in three straight meetings.
Wisconsin had another tough game last Saturday, beating Nebraska in OT, 23-17. The Badgers have had their last four games decided by 8 points or less as they are now 6-2 overall and 3-2 in the Big Ten. They have hit the under in 6 of 8 games, including their last two. Wisconsin has a defense that is quite stingy, giving up just 14.6 points and 301.1 yards per game, including only 192 passing yards per contest. Offensively, Wisconsin has struggled, putting up just 24.1 points and 376.4 yards per game. Leading the offense has been Corey Clement, who has run for 699 yards and six touchdowns. Alex Hornibrook and Bart Houston have combined for 1,577 passing yards and 9 touchdowns this season, but they also have 10 interceptions. Both have been seeing action lately, but Hornibrook has taken more of the snaps.
Northwestern is coming off a tough 24-20 loss at Ohio State last week to fall to 4-4 on the season and 3-2 in the Big Ten. The Wildcats have also hit the under in 6 of their 8 games. Despite allowing 416.3 yards per game on defense, Northwestern is somehow only giving up 22.1 points per contest. Their offense isn’t very overpowering either, posting just 25.1 points and 382 yards per contest. Clayton Thorson has thrown for 1,942 yards and 15 touchdowns this year, connecting with Austin Carr for 58 receptions and 878 yards in the process. Justin Jackson is the leading rusher with 868 yards and six touchdowns.
The total is set low here as both teams play a physical style, but I think the number is too low. Even though they aren't a great offense, Wisconsin has put up point totals 23 or more in most of their games. Northwestern has also been in some shootouts, scoring in the 20s in four straight games. They also have allowed at least 24 points in four of their last five. There are big plays to be made for Wisconsin and the Wildcats have shown the ability to put together some drives on anyone, including Ohio State. I think this game will hover right around 45 points, which will be enough to cover.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 WISCONSIN/NORTHWESTERN OVER 42