Navy vs. Connecticut Prediction
Can Navy cover a four-touchdown spread when the Midshipmen go on the road to face Connecticut tonight at 8PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
307 Navy vs. 308 Connecticut
Friday, November 1, 2019
8PM ET – Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Navy is the heavy favorite on the road. The Midshipmen are getting odds of -27.5 points against Connecticut. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 54.5 points. The public betting currently has 83 percent going on Navy as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
UConn gets a win
The Connecticut football team ended a six-game losing streak last weekend when the Huskies defeated UMass 56-35. UConn is now 2-6 on the season, 0-4 in the AAC, 4-4 against the spread and 5-3 with the under.
The Huskies are not doing anything special on offense or defense this year. The defense is allowing 37.8 points and 430.5 yards per game while the offense is posting just 21.6 points and 344.4 yards per contest. Jack Zergiotis is leading the offense with 874 passing yards and four touchdowns, but also has six interceptions. Kevin Mensah has 696 rushing yards and nine touchdowns while Cameron Ross has 40 catches for 478 yards and two touchdowns.
Navy on four-game win streak
The Navy football team is riding a four-game win streak right now following a 41-38 win over Tulane last weekend. The Midshipmen are now 6-1 on the season, 4-1 in the AAC, 5-2 against the spread and 4-3 with the over.
Navy has good numbers on offense and defense. The defense is allowing just 19.3 points and 310.9 yards per game. Offensively, Navy is averaging 37.9 points and 440.6 yards per game. The Midshipmen have the nation’s top rushing attack, averaging 351.1 yards per contest on the ground. Malcolm Perry has rushed for 934 yards and 14 touchdowns while throwing for 557 yards and four scores. Nelson Smith has added 419 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Jacob Springer is leading the Navy defense with 36 tackles and six sacks.
College Football Betting Trends
The Huskies are 5-12 against the spread in their last 17 games in November and 10-26-1 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Navy is 8-2-1 against the spread in its last 11 games overall and 6-2 ATS in its last eight conference games.
Navy has won and covered the spread in three straight meetings with Connecticut. The Midshipmen have been able to pick up wins, but going on the road and winning by 28 isn’t easy. UConn is coming off a 56-point showing last week at UMass and they have been able to stay with this spread at home against the likes of Houston and South Florida. A lot can go wrong during a road game that would keep an opponent from winning by 28 and I think Connecticut can do enough at home to stay within reach.
College Football Week 10 Prediction: Connecticut +27.5