West Virginia vs. Texas Total Prediction
The West Virginia Mountaineers rebounded from their first loss of the season by waxing Baylor last week and now they’ll travel to Austin on Saturday to take on the Texas Longhorns at 3:30 p.m. ET. Is the under a good play for bettors in this matchup?
3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 3, 2018
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Longhorns are 2-point favorites to beat the Mountaineers. The total, meanwhile, sits at 58 points. As of this writing, 60% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Mountaineers.
West Virginia Mountaineers
West Virginia senior QB Will Grier completed 17-of-27 passes for 353 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for a short score in Thursday's 58-14 win over Baylor. When last we saw Grier and the Mountaineers prior to their bye week, they were being embarrassed by Iowa State in a game that WVU HC Dana Holgorsen called the worst offensive performance that he'd ever seen. They let out their frustration and then some on Thursday, most notably in a 31-point second quarter in which Grier accounted for three of his four total touchdowns. As much as his 100-yard (!) performance against the Cyclones essentially knocked him out of what was a longshot Heisman campaign to begin with, Grier remains one of the most statistically-prolific quarterbacks on the college landscape. For the year, he's thrown for 2,272 yards with a 25/7 TD/INT ratio. He'll look to carve up Texas when he next takes the field, on Nov. 3.
Texas sophomore QB Sam Ehlinger completed 22-of-42 passes for 283 yards and two touchdowns in Saturday's 38-35 loss to Oklahoma State. Ehlinger (6'3/235) showed little negative effects from his shoulder injury. In fact, Ehlinger had his typical big rushing performance -- he rushed for 47 yards and two touchdowns on 10 carries -- which showed he was comfortable taking hits. Ehlinger's 6.43 yards per pass attempt is quite forgettable, but he was able to lead the Longhorns back in the second half to make the game competitive. Ehlinger will bring a seven game interception-less streak into next week's game against Will Grier and West Virginia, but the Longhorns' CFB Playoff run likely ended with Saturday's loss.
The under is 6-2 in the Mountaineers’ last eight games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 8-0 in the Longhorns’ last eight games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Most think of West Virginia has this scoring machine that cashes overs all the time but the Mountaineers have actually been a great under team the last two seasons. The under is 27-13 in their last 40 conference games, is 11-5 in their last 16 games played in November and is 5-2 in their last seven games coming off a win. On the other side, the under is 22-6-1 in the Longhorns’ last 29 home games when facing an opponent with a winning road record, is 45-21 in their last 66 games overall and 39-19-1 in their last 59 home games.
College Football Prediction: West Virginia/Texas under 58