Missouri vs. Florida Total Prediction
The Florida Gators will attempt to rebound from their second loss of the season on Saturday when they host the struggling Missouri Tigers at 4:00 p.m. ET. With the number sitting in the high-50s, is the betting total set too high for this SEC matchup?
4:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 3, 2018
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Gators are 6-point favorites to beat the Tigers. The total, meanwhile, sits at 58 points. As of this writing, 71% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Gators.
Missouri senior QB Drew Lock completed 15-of-27 passes for just 165 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions in Saturday's 15-14 loss against Kentucky. Missouri entered the game with at least 29 points in six of their seven contests, with a 39-10 setback at Alabama on Oct. 13 as the only exception. The Wildcats defense has been a key reason why Big Blue carried a top-15 ranking into play in Columbia. Lock and the Tigers will go back to the drawing board looking to right the ship next Saturday at Florida. They need to find two wins in the final four games to send Lock out on a high note in a bowl game.
Florida redshirt sophomore QB Feleipe' Franks completed 13-of-27 passes for 105 yards, a touchdown and an interception while rushing for 30 yards and a score in Saturday's 36-17 loss to Georgia. The Gators played Georgia tough, but Franks did relatively little to aid the cause. He rushed for a short score early in the second quarter and hit Freddie Swain for a nice 36-yard touchdown to start the third quarter. Otherwise, not much doing. A short while after that touchdown pass, he fumbled near his own goal, a fumble which Georgia recovered (Florida subsequently put up a fantastic stand to prevent a touchdown). Franks has shown improvement under HC Dan Mullen this season, but remains more or less the same quarterback he's been his entire career in Gainesville.
The over is 5-2-1 in the Tigers’ last eight games overall and is 6-1 in their last seven games coming off a loss.
The over is 3-1-1 in the Gators’ last five games overall.
This total is high. The Tigers can score at will but that also depends on the opponent. Memphis? Sure. Any team in the SEC with a pulse defensively? Not so much. They didn’t move the ball against Alabama or Kentucky and Florida’s strength is its defense as well. On the other side, Franks and the Gator offense lacks explosiveness, but what else is new. I see this game being a slogfest.
College Football Prediction: Missouri/Florida under 58