Miami vs. Florida State Prediction
Can Florida State pick up a needed win over a rival when the Seminoles play host to Miami on Saturday at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
387 Miami vs. 388 Florida State
Saturday, November 2, 2019
3:30PM ET – Doak Campbell Stadium
Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida State is the favorite at home, as the Seminoles are getting odds of -3.5 points against Miami. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 46.5 points. The public betting currently has 74 percent going on Miami as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Miami gets past Pitt
The Miami Hurricanes are coming off a 16-12 win at Pittsburgh last weekend. The Canes have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. Miami is 4-4 on the year, 2-3 in the ACC, 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 with the over/under total.
Miami has had a pretty strong defense all season, as the Hurricanes are giving up just 19.4 points and 301.2 yards per game. The defense is being led by Gregory Rousseau, who has 26 tackles and eight sacks. Offensively, Miami is only putting up 26.8 points and 385.2 yards per game. Due to injuries, the Canes have had to use N’Kosi Perry and Jarren Williams at QB. Perry is dealing with a shoulder injury right now that lists his as questionable for this game. The two have combined for 2,111 passing yards and 16 touchdowns. DeeJay Dallas is the leading rusher with 486 yards and six touchdowns while K.J. Osborn is the leading receiver with 33 catches for 418 yards and five touchdowns.
FSU rolls past Syracuse
Florida State ended a two-game losing streak last weekend with a 35-17 victory over Syracuse at home. The Seminoles are now 4-4 on the season, 3-3 in the ACC, 3-4-1 against the spread and 5-3 with the under.
FSU has struggled defensively this season, allowing 29 points and 444.2 yards per game. Offensively, Florida State is averaging 29.4 points and 417 yards per contest. Cam Akers has been leading the offense with 917 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. Alex Hornibrook has settled into the starting QB role. He has thrown for 851 yards and six touchdowns this season with just one INT. Tamorrion Terry is the leading receiver with 29 catches for 606 yards and six touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Hurricanes are just 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 road games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 conference games.
The Seminoles are 6-13-3 ATS in their last 22 conference games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games following a win.
Miami has won the last two in this series, but Florida State is 4-2 against the spread in the last six against the Hurricanes. I think this game will be a bit of a defensive struggle, as Miami has been able to dictate most games with its defense. The problem for the Canes has been scoring. While Miami was able to go and grind out a win over Pitt on the road last week, Florida State has looked good at home. They have won their three ACC home games by at least 11 points. Their offense is clicking on their home turf and I think they will find a way to score enough to cover this small spread at home.
College Football Week 10 Prediction: Florida State -3.5