OK State vs. West Virginia Prediction
Will Oklahoma State cover as more than a touchdown favorite today on the road when it visits West Virginia at 12:00PM ET?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Oklahoma State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Cowboys are now 7.5-point road favorites to beat the Mountaineers, who opened as 6-point underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 74 but has been bet down to 72.5 at the majority of sports books.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: West Virginia. As of this writing, the Mountaineers are receiving 65% of the bets for this game. Oklahoma State is 6-1 on the year and 4-3 against the spread, while West Virginia is 5-2 straight up and 4-3 at the betting window in 2017.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: The under. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams despite the fact that both teams have had dynamic offenses. The under is also 6-1 in the Cowboys' last seven road games.
WHO WE LIKE: West Virginia. Even though Oklahoma State has a huge advantage on defense, this is too good of a matchup for me to lay 7.5 points on the Cowboys. Will Grier has been one of the best passers in the nation this season and is a perfect fit for Dana Holgorsen's system. He's thrown for over 300 yards in six of West Virginia's seven games and is leading the nation with 26 touchdown passes. I do worry about WVU's defense not melting like it did a year ago, but Oklahoma State scored only 13 points in a close call to Texas last week. This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Cowboys, who are traveling for a second consecutive week and who have Oklahoma in the Bedlam game on deck. I'll take the points with the home dog. The Cowboys are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five conference games while the Mountaineers are 4-1 at the betting window in their last five games coming off an ATS loss.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 9 PICK: WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS +7.5