Mississippi State vs. A&M Prediction
Is Texas A&M a good bet to cover as a home underdog or will the Aggies struggle versus Mississippi State at 7:15PM ET?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Mississippi State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bulldogs are now 3.5-point road favorites to beat the Aggies, who opened as 2-point favorites. As for the total, the number hit the board at 53.5 but has been bet up two full points to 55.5 at the majority of online sports books.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: Texas A&M. Bettors are taking the home dog in this matchup, betting the Aggies at a 69% clip. Texas A&M is 5-2 on the year and 5-1-1 against the spread, so the Aggies have been good to bettors. That said, Mississippi State is 5-2 straight up and 5-2 at the betting window.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: The under. The under is 4-1 in the Bulldogs' last five games overall, is 5-2 in their last seven games played in the month of October, and is 5-1 in their last six games coming off a win by more than 20 points. On the other side, the under is 6-2 in the Aggies' last eight home games and is 9-2 in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
WHO WE LIKE: Mississippi State. I'm backing Nick Fitzgerald in this one. He's looked great in the Bulldogs' last two games and will be a handful for A&M, although the Aggies have a fierce pass rush. Fitzgerald accounted for 391 yards in last year's series win for Mississippi State, which has the edge at quarterback with A&M starting true freshman Kellen Mond. The Bulldogs have struggled on the road this year but I like them to win their first SEC game outside of Starkville.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 9 PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS -3.5