Kansas State vs. Kansas Prediction
Will Kansas State have any problems covering a huge spread as a road favorite today versus in-state rival Kansas?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Kansas State…big. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Wildcats are a 24.5-point road favorite versus the Jayhawks, who also opened as a 24.5-point underdog. As for the total, the number hit the board at 59.5 but has been bet all the way down to 55 at the majority of sports books.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: Kansas State. The Wildcats are just 3-3-1 against the spread this season but it's not surprising to see public bettors fade a Jayhawks team that is 1-6 at the betting window this season. As of this writing, 77% of public bettors are backing Kansas State at the betting window.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Kansas State and the over. The Wildcats are 4-0 against the spread in their last four trips to Lawrence and are 17-5 against the number in their last 22 games overall versus the Jayhawks. The favorite is also 18-4 at the betting window in the last 22 meetings between these two teams while the road squad has covered in five of the last seven meetings. The over, meanwhile, is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Lawrence and has cashed in six of the last seven meetings overall.
WHO WE LIKE: Kansas State. I don't like laying 24.5 points on any road favorite but I like backing Kansas even less. Bill Snyder has figured out a way to get fleet-footed Alex Denton more opportunities under center and the sophomore rewarded his coach last week by accounting for 288 yards versus the Sooners. Pardom the cliché but Kansas couldn't stop a nosebleed right now, allowing a whopping 44.6 points per game, which ranks 128th in the nation. After playing Texas, TCU and Oklahoma the past three weeks, the Wildcats' defense finally gets a breather today taking on a Jayhawks offense that averages 18 points per game against FBS opponents. They mustered just 22 yards in a 43-0 rout of TCU, which was the lowest output by any FBS team in the last 20 years. If you're worried about the rivalry or the fact that Kansas is at home, know that the wildcats have won the last seven meetings by a 34 points per game margin. So yeah, I'm not backing Kansas.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 9 PICK: KANSAS STATE WILDCATS -24 (BUY THE HOOK)