Oklahoma State vs. Texas Spread Pick

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns, 10/27/18 Week 9 Predictions

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are in the midst of a down season for them but they have an opportunity to spoil the Texas Longhorns’ season with a win on Saturday night. Listed as a 3.5-point home dog, will the Pokes pull off the upset at 8:00 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

179 Texas Longhorns at 180 Oklahoma State Cowboys

8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 27, 2018

Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Longhorns are 3.5-point favorites to beat the Cowboys. The total, meanwhile, sits at 59.5 points. As of this writing, 57% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Longhorns.

Texas Longhorns

Texas HC Tom Herman told reporters on Monday that sophomore QB Sam Ehlinger continues to progress. Herman was expecting Ehlinger to throw between 25-and-30 passes at practice as he works his way through the shoulder sprain he suffered against Baylor on October 13. He mentioned there are unique challenges with an over-the-top throwing motion, and they want to make sure their sophomore starter is at his best before committing him to starting against Oklahoma State. It does sound like he's going to be able to play, but Shane Buechele would be the starter if Ehlinger can't go.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Oklahoma State redshirt senior QB Taylor Cornelius completed 17-of-35 passes for 184 yards with two interceptions while rushing for 55 yards and a touchdown in a 31-12 loss on Saturday to Kansas State. The rushing yards are decent, but this offense requires accuracy from the quarterback in the passing game, and Cornelius has not shown it in back-to-back losses (although he did throw for four scores against Iowa State). It's been a mostly successful transition from Mason Rudolph to the redshirt senior, but the last two weeks have been a reminder that Cornelius isn't Rudolph. The Cowboys will look to get back on the winning path against Texas on October 27.

Betting Trends

Texas

The Longhorns are 11-4-1 against the spread in their last 16 games versus a team with a winning record.

Oklahoma State

The Cowboys are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games following a bye week.

Prediction

I like getting the hook with the home team playing at night. Has Oklahoma State been impressive this season? No. But Texas is slightly overrated because of its big win over Oklahoma in the Cotton Bowl. Their QB Sam Ehlinger is also banged with with a sprained shoulder and even if he plays he’ll be limited. I think the Pokes get up for this one and pulls off a small upset but given their inconsistencies this season, I like having the 3.5 in my back pocket.

 

College Football Prediction: Oklahoma State Cowboys +3.5

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