Penn State vs. Michigan St. Prediction

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans, 10/26/19 Predictions

Is No. 6 Penn State set to go on the road and beat up on struggling Michigan State when the two Big Ten foes meet up today at 3:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

161 Penn State vs. 162 Michigan State

Saturday, October 26, 2019

3:30PM ET – Spartan Stadium


Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Penn State is favored on the road, as the Nittany Lions are getting odds of -5 points against Michigan State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 43.5 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Penn State as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Spartans coming in rested

Michigan State is coming off a bye following a rough 38-0 loss at Wisconsin two weeks ago. The Spartans fell to 4-3 with the loss and they are 2-2 in the Big Ten. MSU is just 2-5 against the spread and 4-3 with the under.

The Spartans are strong on defense this year, but struggling a lot on offense. MSU is giving up just 21 points and 314.7 yards per game, while the offense is putting up 23.9 points and 358.6 yards per game. Brian Lewerke has thrown for 1,596 yards and 11 touchdowns while rushing for 147 yards. Elijah Collins is the leading rusher with 492 yards and three scores, while Darrell Stewart Jr. has 46 receptions for 683 yards and touchdowns. Joe Bachie is leading the Michigan State defense with 66 tackles, 3.5 sacks and an interception.

Penn State outlasts Michigan

Penn State kept its unbeaten season going last Saturday when the Nittany Lions held off Michigan for a 28-21 win at home. PSU is now 7-0 on the year, 4-0 in the Big Ten, 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 with the under.

The Nittany Lions are solid on both sides of the ball this year. The defense is giving up 10 points and 282.1 yards per game, while the offense is putting up 40 points and 441.1 yards per game. Sean Clifford has thrown for 1,742 yards and 16 touchdowns while rushing for 269 yards and three scores. Noah Cain is the leading rusher with 329 yards and six touchdowns while KJ Hamler has 32 receptions for 563 yards and seven touchdowns.

College Football Betting Trends

Michigan State

The Spartans are just 2-8 against the spread in their last eight games on grass and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in October.

Penn State

Penn State is 11-5 against the spread in its last 16 road games and 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.


Weather isn’t looking great in East Lansing for this game, which should help the under and could help MSU, but I think Penn State will be just fine. The Nittany Lions will be stronger up front and be able to control the game with their run game and run defense. We keep waiting for Michigan State to be the Cinderella darling we have seen in previous years, but the Spartans just don’t show up against the good teams. Wisconsin absolutely manhandled them two weeks ago. Penn State won’t manhandle them, but the Nittany Lions are clearly better in every aspect.

College Football Week 9 Prediction: Penn State -5

Related: Penn State vs. Michigan State Total Prediction

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