Michigan vs. MSU Pick
Can No. 2 Michigan continue its defensive dominance this Saturday when it goes on the road to face rival, Michigan State, at Noon ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Michigan is the clear favorite in this game, as the Wolverines are getting odds of -23.5 points against the Spartans. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 54 points. MSU has won seven of the last eight against Michigan and the two have hit the over in two straight meetings.
Michigan remains one of the few unbeaten teams in the country right now following a 41-8 win over Illinois last week. The Wolverines are now 7-0 on the season and 4-0 in the Big Ten. They have hit the over in five of their seven games this season, but that’s not because of the defense. Michigan has one of the top defensive units in the nation. They have allowed just 25 total points in their last four games and are giving up only 10 points and 207 yards per game this season. The offense is putting up 48.7 points and 483 yards on the season, including a 257.1 average in rushing yards. Michigan has a slew of backs that they use, with four having over 330 yards on the year. Wilton Speight has been a great game manager for the Wolverines, throwing for 1,447 yards and 13 touchdowns this season with just two interceptions.
Michigan State is in a real tailspin right now. The Spartans have lost five straight following a 28-17 loss at Maryland last week. MSU is now 2-5 on the season, 0-4 in the Big Ten and 5-2 with the under. The MSU defense has really been disappointing, allowing 29.7 points and 388 yards per game, including 162.6 rushing yards per contest. Offensively, MSU is putting up just 23.1 points and 390.3 yards per game. Tyler O’Connor has thrown for 11 touchdowns and six interceptions this season while amassing 1,257 yards. However, MSU went with Brian Lewerke last week. He threw for 156 yards and 1 INT in the loss to the Terps. LJ Scott is the leading rusher for MSU this season with 464 yards and three touchdowns.
Michigan’s defense is for real and the Wolverines shouldn’t have much trouble keeping MSU in check. I would think the Spartans may raise their game, at least on defense, as they host their biggest rival. Look for that to lead to an improved defensive effort that will give the Michigan offense some short possessions. I don’t think Michigan can put up a 40-point total in this one, but I also think MSU will struggle do get any more than 14 points. I like the under for this game.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 9 PICK: MICHIGAN/MICHIGAN STATE UNDER 54