Texas vs. Oklahoma State Total Pick
The Texas Longhorns will attempt to not get tripped up on Saturday night in Stillwater when they visit the Oklahoma State Cowboys at 8:00 p.m. ET. With the total sitting in the high-60s, will these teams combine for enough points to hit the over for bettors?
8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 27, 2018
Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Longhorns are 3.5-point favorites to beat the Cowboys. The total, meanwhile, sits at 59.5 points. As of this writing, 58% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Longhorns.
Texas HC Tom Herman told reporters on Monday that sophomore QB Sam Ehlinger continues to progress. Herman was expecting Ehlinger to throw between 25-and-30 passes at practice as he works his way through the shoulder sprain he suffered against Baylor on October 13. He mentioned there are unique challenges with an over-the-top throwing motion, and they want to make sure their sophomore starter is at his best before committing him to starting against Oklahoma State. It does sound like he's going to be able to play, but Shane Buechele would be the starter if Ehlinger can't go.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State redshirt senior QB Taylor Cornelius completed 17-of-35 passes for 184 yards with two interceptions while rushing for 55 yards and a touchdown in a 31-12 loss on Saturday to Kansas State. The rushing yards are decent, but this offense requires accuracy from the quarterback in the passing game, and Cornelius has not shown it in back-to-back losses (although he did throw for four scores against Iowa State). It's been a mostly successful transition from Mason Rudolph to the redshirt senior, but the last two weeks have been a reminder that Cornelius isn't Rudolph. The Cowboys will look to get back on the winning path against Texas on October 27.
The under is 7-1 in the Longhorns’ last eight road games versus an opponent with a winning home record.
The over is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous contest.
If Oklahoma State’s offense were clicking heading into Saturday night, the over would make sense. But Texas has a stout defense and with quarterback issues on both sides (injuries impacting the Longhorns under center and inefficiency impacting the Cowboys), I’m going with the under, which is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams. The under is also 19-7 in the Longhorns’ last 26 road games, is 45-20 in their last 65 games overall, and is 40-14 in their last 54 conference games.
College Football Prediction: Texas/Oklahoma State under 59.5