Toledo vs. Ball State Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Toledo is favored on the road in this one, as the Rockets are getting odds of -26 points against Ball State. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 60.5 points. Toledo has won three straight meetings with Ball State and the two have hit the under in five straight meetings. The public is currently putting 89 percent of the wagers on Toledo on the road. Thursday’s game takes place from Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana and will air live on ESPN3.
Toledo has won three straight following a 48-21 win over Akron. The Rockets are now 6-1 on the season and 3-0 in the MAC. They also are 4-3 with the over this season. Toledo is posting 38 points and 504.4 yards per game on offense right now. Logan Woodside is leading the team with 2,028 yards and 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. Terry Swanson is the leading rusher with 623 yards and seven touchdowns while Diontae Johnson has 32 catches and 523 yards and six scores. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 26.6 points and 371.3 yards per game.
Ball State is coming off a 56-9 loss at home to Central Michigan this past weekend. The Cardinals are now 2-5 on the year, 0-3 in the MAC and 4-3 with the over. The overs aren’t due to offense, as Ball State is averaging just 19.4 points and 344.9 yards per game this season. In MAC play, Ball State has scored a total of 15 points in three games. The team has really struggled over the loss of Riley Neal at QB. He will be out until mid-November with a leg injury. Jack Milas has filled in, but has six interceptions with no touchdowns and is only completing 53.4 percent of his passes. Caleb Huntley has rushed for 467 yards and three touchdowns to lead the offense while Justin Hall has 46 catches for 490 yards and two scores. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 34.7 points and 385.4 yards per game.
Ball State has been a train wreck on offense in recent weeks. Scoring just 15 points isn’t going to help hitting an over, usually, but the Cardinals have hit it in two of those three games. Toledo is very capable of putting up a big number and if the Ball State defense is on the field most of the game. I can definitely see the Rockets getting into the 50s in this one and leading these two to another over.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: TOLEDO/BALL STATE OVER 60.5