Auburn vs. Arkansas Prediction
Will Auburn rebound from its loss to LSU and cover the spread against Arkansas tonight at 7:30PM ET?
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: Auburn. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Tigers are 15.5-point road favorites versus the Razorbacks, who opened as 13-point home underdogs. The total, meanwhile, hit the board at 56 but has been bet down a full three points to 53 at the majority of sportsbooks.
THE PUBLIC LIKES: Auburn. Public bettors love Auburn on Saturday night. Of the tickets currently placed on this matchup, a whopping 77% of public bettors are taking the Tigers minus the points. Of course, Auburn was an even bigger public play last week when it played LSU on the road and the Tigers lost outright as a 7-point favorite.
HISTORICAL TRENDS LIKE: Auburn. The favorite is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings between these two teams while the Tigers are a perfect 5-0 at the betting window in their last five games versus a team with a losing record. They're also 5-1-1 against the number in their last seven games in October and are 3-1-1 at the betting window in their last five conference games. On the other side, the Razorbacks are just 1-6-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall, are 0-4-1 against the number in their last five home games and are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in October.
WHO WE LIKE: Arkansas. This is too many points to lay with a road favorite that is coming off a second-half collapse last week on the road. Everyone loaded up on the Tigers a week ago and Gus Malzahn's team took their foot off the gas in the second half and allowed LSU to pull off a stunning comeback. The Razorbacks are having a rough year and could be without starting quarterback Austin Allen yet again, but I don't know why this line is inflated. Arkansas covered a week ago in Alabama as a big underdog and I see this game being a lot closer than oddsmakers think.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 8 PREDICTIONS: ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS +15.5