LSU vs. Mississippi St. Prediction
Can No. 2 LSU avoid a big letdown this afternoon when the Tigers go on the road to face Mississippi State in SEC play at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
379 LSU vs. 380 Mississippi State
Saturday, October 19, 2019
3:30PM ET – Davis Wade Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, LSU is favored on the road, as the Tigers are getting odds of -17.5 points against Mississippi State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 62 points. The public betting currently has 79 percent going on LSU as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bulldogs get back to Starkville
Mississippi State is coming off a pair of road losses, falling at Auburn and Tennessee over recent weeks. The Bulldogs are 3-3 on the season, 1-2 in the SEC, 2-4 against the spread and 4-2 with the over.
The Bulldogs have struggled to sustain much on offense this year, averaging 26.8 points and 376.2 yards per game. Defensively, Mississippi State is giving up 27.2 points and 394.3 yards per game. Kylin Hill has led the offense with 609 rushing yards and five touchdowns while Garrett Shrader has thrown for 590 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 374 yards and two more scores. Osirus Mitchell is the team’s leading receiver with 24 catches for 335 yards and four touchdowns.
LSU picks up a big win
The LSU Tigers are coming off another big win last weekend, defeating Florida at home, 42-28. LSU is now 6-0 on the season, 2-0 in the SEC, 4-2 against the spread and 5-1 with the over.
LSU has put together one of the best nations in the country this year, averaging 52.5 points and 561.2 yards per game. The defense has also still be pretty solid, allowing only 21.2 points and 317.5 yards per contest. Joe Burrow is leading the squad with a Heisman campaign. He has thrown for 2,157 yards and 25 touchdowns with just three interceptions. Justin Jefferson is his leading receiver with 40 catches for 670 yards and eight touchdowns while Clyde Edwards-Helaire is the leading rusher with 494 yards and seven touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Bulldogs are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games and in five of their last seven games in October.
LSU has covered the spread in four straight road games and in 12 of their last 16 conference games.
Mississippi State has actually been a problem for LSU over the years. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in four of their last five against the Tigers, including their last two meetings at home. LSU had the luxury of facing Northwestern State after beating Texas, so a letdown was never a concern. However, this game is sandwiched between a matchup with Florida and a game next week with Auburn. This definitely feels like a trap game for LSU. Mississippi State has been shaky in recent games on the road and the Tigers could overlook them, but the Bulldogs have played tough at home and I think they can compete with LSU up front. Every team has a shaky outing or two during the year and I think this will be one for LSU.
College Football Week 8 Prediction: Mississippi State +17.5