Georgia St. vs. Arkansas St. Prediction

Arkansas State vs. Georgia State, 10/18/18 College Football Predictions

Will Arkansas State handle covering a big spread at home when the Red Wolves play host to Georgia State this evening at 7:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

303 Georgia State at 304 Arkansas State

Thursday, October 18, 2018

7:30PM ET – Centennial Bank Stadium

TV: ESPNU

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Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Arkansas State is favored at home, as the Red Wolves are getting odds of -14 points against Georgia State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 57.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 58 percent going on Arkansas State at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Arkansas State drops two straight

The Red Wolves have lost back-to-back games coming into Thursday’s contest. Arkansas State is now 3-3 overall, 0-2 in the Sun Belt, 1-5 against the spread and 4-2 with the under. The Red Wolves have failed to cover in their last three games.

Arkansas State is putting up some strong offense numbers in regards to yards, averaging 449 per game. However, it is leading to just 23.5 points per contest. Quarterback Justice Hansen has thrown for 1,538 yards and 11 touchdowns with five interceptions. He also has rushed for 219 yards and two touchdowns. Kirk Merritt is the leading receiver with 38 catches for 311 yards and a score. Defensively, Arkansas State is giving up 30.2 points and 392 yards per game, including 245 rushing yards per contest.

Georgia State drops four of five

The Georgia State Panthers are struggling coming into this game. They are off to just a 2-4 starts, losing four of their last five. Their last loss was 37-20 at Troy on Oct. 4. The Panthers 1-1 in the Sun Belt, 2-3-1 against the spread and 3-3 with the over/under total.

GSU has been struggling a great deal on defense this year. The Panthers are giving up 34.2 points and 491.5 yards per game, including 245 rushing yards per game. Offensively, Georgia State is putting up just 22.3 points and 365.7 yards per game. Dan Ellington has led the team with 1,224 passing yards and five touchdowns. He also is the team’s leading rusher with 270 yards and four touchdowns. Penny Hart is the leading receiver with 30 catches for 395 yards and a score.

College Football Betting Trends

Arkansas State

Arkansas State has failed to cover in six straight home games, but are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in October.

Georgia State

The Panthers are 10-1-1 against the spread in their last 12 games in October, but just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six conference games.

Prediction:

Neither team has been able to do much in terms of covering, but the road team has covered in four straight meetings between these two teams. These two have pretty comparable numbers in some ways and both offenses aren’t overwhelming. I expect this to be a competitive conference game, as Arkansas State hasn’t been able to pull away from most competition.

 

College Football Prediction: Georgia State +14

Related: Georgia State vs. Arkansas State Total Prediction

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