Tennessee vs. Alabama Total Pick

Tennessee vs. Alabama: College Football Week 8 Preview & Predictions

Given Tennessee's issues offensively, will the under cash on Saturday when the Vols visit Alabama at 3:30PM ET?

Game Info

Who: Tennessee (3-3) at Alabama (7-0)

When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, October 21

Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 50.5 points after hitting the board at 51. Alabama, meanwhile, opened as a 33-point home favorite but the line has climbed up to 34.5 at the majority of sports books.

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Who is the Public Backing?

Obviously public bettors are not scared off by the large number because as of this writing, 73% of tickets are on the Crimson Tide to cover. That's not surprising given that Alabama is a major public team, although bettors are also aware of Tennessee's struggles so that certain factors into that 73% figure as well.

Key Betting Trends

The road team is 16-5-1 against the spread in the last 22 meetings between these two teams but the favorite is 5-2 against the number in the last seven meetings. The Volunteers, meanwhile, are 7-3-1 against the spread in their last 11 road games versus the Crimson Tide but are just 3-9-1 against the number in their last 13 games overall versus Alabama. The over is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams.

OUR PREDICTION: Despite recent history indicating that the over is the play, I just don't see how Tennessee scores over 10 points versus 'Bama. The under is a perfect 5-0 in the Vols' last five games overall, is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a loss, and is 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous contest. On the other side, the under is 9-4 in the Crimson Tide's last 13 home games, is 18-8 in their last 26 games played on grass, and is 10-4 in their last 14 games played in the month of October. (For a statistical breakdown of this game, click here.)

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 8 PREDICTIONS: TENNESSEE/ALABAMA UNDER 50.5

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