Tennessee vs. Alabama Total Pick
Given Tennessee's issues offensively, will the under cash on Saturday when the Vols visit Alabama at 3:30PM ET?
Who: Tennessee (3-3) at Alabama (7-0)
When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, October 21
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 50.5 points after hitting the board at 51. Alabama, meanwhile, opened as a 33-point home favorite but the line has climbed up to 34.5 at the majority of sports books.
Who is the Public Backing?
Obviously public bettors are not scared off by the large number because as of this writing, 73% of tickets are on the Crimson Tide to cover. That's not surprising given that Alabama is a major public team, although bettors are also aware of Tennessee's struggles so that certain factors into that 73% figure as well.
Key Betting Trends
The road team is 16-5-1 against the spread in the last 22 meetings between these two teams but the favorite is 5-2 against the number in the last seven meetings. The Volunteers, meanwhile, are 7-3-1 against the spread in their last 11 road games versus the Crimson Tide but are just 3-9-1 against the number in their last 13 games overall versus Alabama. The over is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams.
OUR PREDICTION: Despite recent history indicating that the over is the play, I just don't see how Tennessee scores over 10 points versus 'Bama. The under is a perfect 5-0 in the Vols' last five games overall, is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a loss, and is 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous contest. On the other side, the under is 9-4 in the Crimson Tide's last 13 home games, is 18-8 in their last 26 games played on grass, and is 10-4 in their last 14 games played in the month of October. (For a statistical breakdown of this game, click here.)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 8 PREDICTIONS: TENNESSEE/ALABAMA UNDER 50.5