San Jose St. vs. San Diego St. Pick
Will San Jose State be able to put up a fight when it face San Diego State this Friday at 10:30PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, San Diego State is the clear favorite at home, as the Aztecs are getting odds of -23.5 points against San Jose State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 48 points right now. San Diego State has won and covered the spread in three straight meetings with San Jose State.
San Diego State is coming off a 17-3 win at Fresno State to improve to 5-1 on the season and 2-0 in the Mountain West. The Aztecs are just 2-3-1 against the spread this season though. San Diego State has a great defense that is holding opponents to just 20 points and 297.2 yards per game, including only 199.2 passing yards per game. On offense, the Aztecs are averaging 30.8 points and 411.3 yards per game. Their run game is leading the way, posting 246 yards per game. Donnel Pumphrey is the leading rusher in the country, already putting up 1,111 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2016. Christian Chapman has added 984 passing yards and eight touchdowns.
San Jose State is coming off a 14-10 win over Nevada last week to move to 2-5 on the season and 1-2 in the Mountain West. The Spartans are just 2-4 against the spread in lined games in 2016. San Jose State is giving up 35.7 points and 444 yards per game on the year, including 228.3 rushing yards per game. The offense is only putting up 25 points and 375.3 yards per contest. The Spartans have three backs with over 300 yards, led by Malik Roberson, who has 329 yards. Kenny Potter has added 1,148 passing yards and nine touchdowns.
The key for this pick comes down to simple numbers. San Diego State has the top back in the nation and San Jose State has one of the worst rushing defenses there is. I find it hard to believe that Pumphrey and the Aztecs won’t move the ball at will against the Spartans. The San Diego State defense should also be able to keep San Jose State in check, allowing for an easy cover.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 8 PICK: SAN DIEGO STATE -23.5