Lafayette vs. Arkansas State Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Arkansas State is favored in this game, as the Red Wolves are getting odds of -12.5 points against Lafayette. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 65 points. Lafayette has won three of the last four meetings and the two have hit the over in three of their last five encounters. The public is currently giving 61 percent of the wagers on the Red Wolves at home. Thursday’s game takes place from Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. The contest will air live on ESPNU.
Lafayette has won its last two games to get to 3-3 on the season and 2-1 in the Sun Belt Conference. The Cajuns are 4-2 with the over this season, but have hit the under in their last two games. Lafayette is averaging 34.8 points and 409.7 yards per game on offense this season. Andre Nunez has taken over at quarterback the last three games and has 732 yards with four touchdowns passing. Trey Ragas is the leading rusher with 525 yards and seven touchdowns while Keenan Barnes has 31 receptions for 434 yards. Defensively, Lafayette is allowing 39.7 points and 476.3 yards per game. They have really struggled to stop the run, allowing 238.7 yards per game.
Arkansas State is coming off a 51-17 win over Coastal Carolina. The Red Wolves are 3-2 on the season and 2-0 in the conference. They are 3-2 with the over, hitting it in their last two games. The Red Wolves are putting up 39.8 points and 454.6 yards per game this season. Quarterback Justice Hansen has thrown for 1,587 yards and 19 touchdowns to lead the offense while Chris Murray has 21 receptions for 347 yards and four touchdowns. Warren Wand is the leading rusher with 285 yards and four scores. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 26.4 points and 448.2 yards per game.
Both teams have the capability of moving the ball and both defenses have been giving up plenty of yards, however the trends back the under. Lafayette is 10-2-1 with the under in its last 13 conference games and 9-4-1 with the under in their last 14 games after a win. Arkansas State is 6-2-1 with the under in its last nine home games. I think the total is a little too high for this conference battle.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: LAFAYETTE/ARKANSAS STATE UNDER 65