South Alabama vs. Troy Prediction
Can Troy handle a three-score spread when the Trojans play host to South Alabama tonight at 8PM ET to start the college football weekend?
Game Snapshot & Odds
301 South Alabama vs. 302 Troy
Wednesday, October 16, 2019
8PM ET – Veterans Memorial Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Troy is the clear favorite at home, as the Trojans are getting odds of -15.5 points against South Alabama. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 55.5 points. The public betting currently has 67 percent going on Troy as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Troy looking to get back on track
Troy is coming off back-to-back losses entering this game, including a 42-10 loss at Missouri two weeks ago. The Trojans are 2-3 on the season, 0-1 in the Sun Belt, 1-4 against the spread and 3-2 with the over.
The Trojans are competitive on offense, averaging 34.6 points and 452.6 yards per game. Their passing attack is averaging over 300 yards per game. Defensively, Troy is giving up 32 points and 402.4 yards per game. The run defense is giving up just 93.8 yards per game though, which ranks 14th nationally. Kaleb Barker has thrown or 1,476 yards and 14 touchdowns to lead the offense, but he is questionable to play tonight due to a leg injury. DK Billingsley is the leading rusher with 350 rushing yards and four touchdowns while Kaylon Geiger is the leading receiver with 30 catches for 410 yards and two scores.
South Alabama looking for an upset
South Alabama hasn’t been able to get on track, dropping four straight following a 20-17 OT loss to Georgia Southern two weeks ago. The Jaguars are 1-5 on the season, 0-2 in the Sun Belt, 3-3 against the spread and 5-1 with the under.
The Jaguars haven’t been able to come up with much in terms of offense this year, averaging just 16.8 points and 319 yards per game. The defense hasn’t been too great either, allowing 29.3 points and 400.5 yards per contest. Tra Minter has been the offensive leader with 477 rushing yards and two touchdowns while Cephus Johnson has rushed for 199 yards and four scores as well as passing for 708 yards and five touchdowns. Kawaan Baker has caught 16 passes for 353 yards and three touchdowns to lead the receivers.
College Football Betting Trends
Troy is 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 conference games, but just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a bye week.
The Jaguars have covered the spread in four straight conference games, but are just 10-21 ATS in their last 31 road games.
The road team has actually won four straight in this series and South Alabama has covered the spread in three of the last four against Troy. Troy has put up at least 40 points in three straight home games while the Jaguars have scored just 20 points combined in their last two road games. I just don’t see the South Alabama defense being able to do enough defensively to slow down Troy. The Jaguars are an awful offense and I think they will continue to struggle to score on the road.
College Football Week 8 Prediction: Troy -15.5