Miami vs. Virginia Tech Prediction

Miami vs. Virginia Tech 10/15/22 Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Unranked Miami travels to Blacksburg to face unranked Virginia Tech at 12:30 PM ET on Saturday. Can the Hurricanes move the ball enough to win and cover the spread as 7-point road favorites?

Miami is 2-3 on the year, with nonconference wins over Bethune-Cookman and Southern Mississippi. The Hurricanes lost their only conference game to North Carolina last week. The Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS on the season. 

Virginia Tech is 2-4 on the year with conference losses to North Carolina and Pittsburgh. The Hokies beat Boston College in Week 2. The Hokies are 1-5 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

125 Miami Hurricanes  -7 at 126 Virginia Tech Hokies +7; O/U 46.5 

12:30 PM ET Saturday, October 15th, 2022

Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA

Miami vs. Virginia Tech Public Betting Information

The public is slightly favoring the Hokies in this game. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that 51% of public bets are on Virginia Tech +7. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around. 

Miami Game Notes

Miami quarterback Tyler Van Dyke was getting a lot of hype in the preseason. He hasn’t lived up to it thus far. Van Dyke has a mediocre QBR of 52.6 out of 100, which ranks 82nd in the country. He did have a monster game last week against North Carolina though. Against the Tar Heels Tyler Van Dyke completed 42 of 57 passes for 496 yards and 3 touchdowns. Miami still ultimately lost, but it was Tyler Van Dyke’s best performance of the season. 

But Miami is at its best when they attain some balance on offense. For that, they’ll likely turn to running back Henry Parrish Jr. Parrish is 7th in the ACC with 378 rushing yards. He has 4 rushing touchdowns and is averaging 4.8 yards per tote on the year. Henry Parrish Jr. figures to see a big workload against a Virginia Tech defense that has given up 234.7 rushing yards per game in their last 3 games.          

Virginia Tech Game Notes               

Virginia Tech’s offense is, quite frankly not very good. They do have wide receiver Kaleb Smith who’s sixth in the ACC with 402 receiving yards. He gained 152 of those yards last week against Pittsburgh. But the Hokies’ offense has trouble moving the ball, scoring, and limiting turnovers. Virginia Tech ranks 118th out of 131 FBS teams in yards per play (4.3), they’re 110th in points scored per game (18.6), and they’re tied for 103rd in average turnover margin per game (-0.8).

Hokies quarterback Grant Wells has had a tough time running the offense this season. His touchdown pass-to-interception ratio is poor at 6-7 and he’s only completed 65% of his passes in one game this year, and that was against FCS Wofford. Wells’ worst game came against North Carolina where he only mustered 139 passing yards against a Tar Heels defense that is giving up over 300 passing yards per game. Wells will have to play better and limit mistakes if the Hokies want to cover this contest.       

Miami vs. Virginia Tech Betting Trends

The under is 6-0-2 in Miami’s last 8 games against a team with a losing home record.

Virginia Tech is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.

The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between Miami and Virginia Tech.

Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at Virginia Tech.

Miami vs. Virginia Tech Betting Prediction

The public might be on Virginia Tech in this game but I think that’s a mistake. The Hokies are 104th in the nation in average scoring margin at -11.2. That number means on average, they’ve lost each game by 11.2 points. For reference, Miami’s average scoring margin is -0.5. That’s a difference of 10.7 points. The spread for this game is Miami -7, and I don’t think Virginia Tech’s anemic offense can score enough points to keep this game close. I’ll lay the points with the Hurricanes.


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