Iowa vs. Purdue Prediction

College Football Week 7 Predictions: Iowa vs. Purdue 10/15/16

Can Iowa find enough offense to cover the spread when it goes on the road to face Purdue today at Noon ET?

According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Iowa is the favorite on the road in this game, as the Hawkeyes are getting odds of -12 points against the Boilermakers. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 50.5 points. Iowa has won three straight and five of the last six against Purdue and the Hawkeyes are 3-2 against the spread in the last five of this series.

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Iowa is coming off a 14-7 win at Minnesota last week to improve to 4-2 on the season and 2-1 in the Big Ten. Iowa is just 2-4 against the spread this season. The main reason for that is the offense, which is putting up just 27.8 points and 338.2 yards per game. Iowa can run the ball, averaging 150 yards per game on the ground. For Iowa’s run game, it is led by the duo of LeShun Daniels Jr. and Akrum Wadley, who have combined for 855 yards and 11 touchdowns. Iowa still has a solid defense, allowing just 16.5 points and 348.5 yards per game. They are particularly strong against the pass, allowing just 179.2 yards per game.

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Purdue is coming off a 34-31 OT win at Illinois last week to move to 3-2 on the season and 1-1 in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers are 2-3 against the spread, but that is due to their defense giving up 31.4 points and 431.6 yards per game. Purdue has really struggled to stop opposing run games, as the Boilermakers are allowing 244.2 yards per game on the ground. On offense, Purdue is averaging 26 points and 429.2 yards per game. That is led by the pass game and David Blough, who has thrown for 1,298 yards and seven touchdowns. However, Blough also has nine interceptions this year. Not helping matters is that leading receiver Domonique Young is out for the rest of the season with a knee injury. He caught 29 passes for 338 yards this season.

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While I expect Iowa’s defense to keep Purdue in check, I question just how well the Hawkeyes will move the ball in this game. In their last two road trips, they have been held to 14 points. One of those games was against Rutgers, a team that has been outscored 136 points over the last two weeks. With this game being on the road, I expect Purdue to play a little stronger than normal on defense. I think they do enough to keep Iowa from running away with this game.


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