Navy vs. Memphis Total Prediction

College Football Predictions: Is 71 points too high for Navy vs. Memphis?

Are oddsmakers setting the total too high when No. 25 Navy hits the road to face Memphis today at 3:45PM ET?

According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Memphis is the slight favorite at home, as the Tigers are getting odds of -3 points against Navy. The over/under total for the game is listed at 71 points. Navy has won its last two meetings with Memphis and the two have hit the over in both games. Today’s game takes place from Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee. The game airs live on ESPNU.

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Memphis is coming off a 70-31 win at UConn to improve to 4-1 on the season and 1-1 in the AAC. The Tigers are 4-1 with the over this season, hitting it in all three home games this year. Memphis has a great offense that averages 42.4 points and 509.4 yards per game, but it also has a defense that is giving up 35.2 points and 506.2 yards per contest. Riley Ferguson is leading the offense with 1,535 passing yards and 16 touchdowns this season. Darrell Henderson has run for 448 yards and three touchdowns. Anthony Miller has caught 35 passes for 516 yards and seven touchdowns.

Navy improved to 5-0 last week with a 48-45 win over Air Force. The Midshipmen are 3-0 in the AAC and 3-2 with the under. Navy has hit the under in both road games this year. The Midshipmen are allowing 27.6 points and 398.4 yards per game on defense while the offense is putting up 37.2 points and 508.4 yards per contest. Navy runs for 414.2 yards per game. Zach Abey has run for 870 yards and nine touchdowns while also throwing for 470 yards and five touchdowns. Chris High and Malcolm Perry have combined for 706 rushing yards and four scores.

Bet on Navy vs. Memphis

The total is set really high, but it actually has dropped four points over the last few days. I feel as if these two are set for a big offensive showcase. Memphis has proven it will put up a high number at home and its defense is going to struggle to keep Navy from racking up touchdown runs. There may not be a punt in this game. Memphis has hit the over in 7 of its last 8 against a winning team while Navy has hit it in 12 of its last 16 conference games.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: NAVY/MEMPHIS OVER 71

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