Michigan St. vs. Wisconsin Prediction
Can No. 8 Wisconsin stand tall at home and pick up a double-digit win over Michigan State when the two meet up today at 3:30PM ET in Big Ten play?
Game Snapshot & Odds
177 Michigan State vs. 178 Wisconsin
Saturday, October 12, 2019
3:30PM ET – Camp Randall Stadium
TV: Big Ten Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Wisconsin is the favorite at home, as the Badgers are getting odds of -10.5 points against Michigan State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 40.5 points. The public betting currently has 64 percent going on Wisconsin as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Wisconsin locking up opponents
Wisconsin has been very impressive on defense this year, as they have pitched three shutouts already in 2019. That includes a 48-0 win over Kent State last weekend. Wisconsin is 5-0 on the year, 2-0 in the Big Ten, 4-1 against the spread and 3-2 with the under.
On the season, Wisconsin has the nation’s top defense. The Badgers are allowing just 5.8 points and 182 yards per game thus far. The defense is being led by Zack Baun, who has 23 tackles and six sacks. Offensively, Wisconsin has been solid as well. The Badgers are putting up 43.4 points and 457 yards per game. Running back Jonathan Taylor is leading the team with 745 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns while Jack Coan has thrown for 939 yards and seven touchdowns. Quintez Cephus is the leading receiver with 17 catches for 263 yards and two touchdowns. Taylor also has 114 receiving yards and four scores.
Spartans runs over by Ohio State
Michigan State was soundly beaten last week on the road by Ohio State, 34-10. The Spartans fell to 4-2 on the year with the loss. They are 2-1 in the Big Ten, 2-4 against the spread and 3-3 with the over/under total.
MSU has a defense that is pretty strong. The Spartans are giving up just 18.2 points and 300.2 yards per game this season. Offensively, Michigan State is putting up 27.8 points and 393.5 yards per game this year. Brian Lewerke is leading the offense with 1,543 yards passing and 11 touchdowns while rushing for 143 yards. Elijah Collins has 476 rushing yards and three scores while Darrell Stewart Jr. has 41 receptions for 624 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, MSU is led by Joe Bachie, who has 58 tackles, 3.5 sacks and one interception.
College Football Betting Trends
The Badgers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, but just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a win.
The Spartans are just 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a winning team.
The road team has actually won and covered the spread in the last two meetings between these two, but they have only met twice since 2012. The Badgers have looked like world beaters most of the season, but that 24-15 win at home over Northwestern sticks out. Today Wisconsin plays a football team that can stop the run and match them physically up front with their defensive line. I am not sure the Badgers are world beaters if Taylor can’t rush for over 150 yards. MSU got outclassed by Ohio State last week, but the Spartans actually could have made a game of it early had they not dropped passes and fumbled. If Michigan State cuts out major mistakes on offense, the Spartans are going to make a game of this and possibly score the big upset.
College Football Week 7 Prediction: Michigan State +10.5