Iowa vs. Purdue Pick
With both teams still with some life in the Big Ten race, will Purdue and Iowa have a competitive and physical contest this Saturday at Noon ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Iowa is the favorite on the road in this game, as the Hawkeyes are getting odds of -12 points against the Boilermakers. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 50 points. Iowa has won three straight and five of the last six against Purdue and the two have hit the over in four of their last five meetings.
Iowa is coming off a 14-7 win at Minnesota last week to improve to 4-2 on the season and 2-1 in the Big Ten. The Hawkeyes are 4-2 with the under as well. Part of that is due to a defense that is holding opponents to just 16.5 points per game, but part of that is also due to an offense that is averaging just 338.2 yards per game. Iowa can run the ball, averaging 150 yards per game on the ground, but the defense has struggled to stop the run this year, giving up 170 yards per contest. For Iowa’s run game, it is led by the duo of LeShun Daniels Jr. and Akrum Wadley, who have combined for 855 yards and 11 touchdowns.
Purdue is coming off a 34-31 OT win at Illinois last week to move to 3-2 on the season and 1-1 in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers have hit the over in four of their five games, but that is due to their defense giving up 31.4 points and 431.6 yards per game. While Iowa has concerns about its run game, Purdue is far worse, allowing 244.2 yards per game on the ground. On offense, Purdue is averaging 26 points and 429.2 yards per game. That is led by the pass game and David Blough, who has thrown for 1,298 yards and seven touchdowns. However, Blough also has nine interceptions this year. Not helping matters is that leading receiver Domonique Young is listed as doubtful this week with a knee injury. He has caught 29 passes for 338 yards this season.
I have little doubt that Purdue will struggle to move the ball on Iowa. For the most part, the Hawkeyes still have a defense you have to respect, especially against an offense with some big questions like Purdue. The key is how will the Boilermakers do against the Iowa offense? Even though Purdue struggles to stop the run, Iowa’s run game isn’t quite as dominant as it usually is, which is why the Hawkeyes struggled against a poor defense like Rutgers earlier this year. Look for this game to be similar, with Iowa struggling to produce long drives on offense but keeping Purdue in check on defense.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 PICK: IOWA/PURDUE UNDER 50