Colorado vs. Oregon Prediction
Is No. 13 Oregon giving up too many points at home when the Ducks play host to Colorado tonight at 10PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
113 Colorado vs. 114 Oregon
Friday, October 11, 2019
10PM ET – Autzen Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Oregon is favored at home, as the Ducks are getting odds of -21 points against Colorado. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 59.5 points. The public betting currently has 57 percent going on Oregon as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Oregon riding a win streak
Oregon picked up another strong win last weekend, defeating Cal at home 17-7 to win a fourth straight game. The Ducks are 4-1 on the season, 2-0 in the Pac-12, 2-3 against the spread and 4-1 with the under.
The Ducks have been one of the nation’s best defensive teams. Since allowing 27 points to Auburn in the opener, Oregon has given up just 22 points combined over their last four games. For the year, Oregon is giving up just 9.8 points and 261.4 yards per game on defense. Jevon Holland is leading the unit with 24 tackles and three interceptions. Offensively, the Ducks are averaging 34.2 points and 447.8 yards per game. Justin Herbert has been efficient at QB, throwing for 1,341 yards and 15 touchdowns with just one interception. Jacob Breeland is the team’s leading receiver with 23 catches for 352 yards and five touchdowns, while CJ Verdell is the leading rusher with 277 yards and two scores. Verdell is questionable to play today, but is expected to play.
Colorado edged by Wildcats
Colorado is coming off a 35-30 loss at home to Arizona last weekend to fall to 3-2 on the season. The Buffaloes are 1-1 in the Pac-12 thus far while going 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 with the over.
The Buffaloes have been respectable on offense, but the defense has struggled. Colorado is allowing 31.6 points and 471.6 yards per game this year, including 313 passing yards per game. Offensively, Colorado is putting up 34.6 points and 447 yards per game this year. Steven Montez is leading the offense with 1,463 passing yards and 10 touchdowns while Tony Brown has caught 29 passes for 442 yards and four scores. Alex Fontenot is the team’s leading rusher with 392 yards and four touchdowns.
College Football Betting Trends
The Ducks are just 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games in October and 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a win.
The Buffaloes are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven Pac-12 games and 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games against a winning team.
Oregon has dominated this series, winning and covering in seven straight meetings with the Buffaloes. The Ducks are winning games, but now blowing out conference opponents. They only beat Stanford by 15 and then bested Cal by 10. Colorado has found a way to be competitive in all of their games, with both losses coming by a score. While Oregon is definitely the better team on paper, I like Colorado’s ability to play to their competition. The Buffaloes have an offense that can test Oregon’s defense and the Ducks don’t seem interested in being a team that will run up the score.
College Football Week 7 Prediction: Colorado +21