South Alabama vs. Troy Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Troy is favored at home in this game, as the Trojans are getting odds of -16 points against South Alabama. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 49 points. Troy has won three of the last five meetings with South Alabama, but the Jaguars have covered the spread in two straight meetings. Today’s game takes place from Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama and will air live on ESPN2.
Troy is 4-1 on the season thanks to a four-game winning streak. Their last win was a surprising upset at LSU, 24-21. The Trojans are 1-0 in conference play and they are just 1-4 against the spread on the year and 0-2 ATS at home. Defensively, Troy is allowing 18.6 points and 339.8 yards per game. On offense, Troy is putting up 24 points and 431.6 yards per contest. Brandon Silvers has thrown for 1,241 yards and two touchdowns to lead the offense while Jordan Chunn has 490 rushing yards with six touchdowns. Deondre Douglas has 22 catches for 279 yards and one score.
South Alabama is 1-4 coming into this week’s game following a 34-16 loss to Louisiana Tech. The Jaguars are 0-1 in the Sun Belt and 2-3 against the spread. They are 1-1 ATS on the road. The Jaguars have struggled on offense this season, posting just 23.6 points and 329 yards per contest. Dallas Davis missed the last game with a shoulder injury. He has thrown for 487 yards and three touchdowns this year. Xavier Johnson is the leading rusher with 345 yards and four touchdowns. Jamarius Way has caught 18 passes for 297 yards and two scores. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 30.8 points and 421.2 yards per game. They have struggled to stop the pass, allowing 292.2 yards per game.
The trends aren’t strong for either team, but the road team has covered the spread in four of the last five in the series and the underdog has covered in four straight meetings. Troy has also failed to cover in four straight home games. The Trojans have a great defense, but the offense isn’t capable of really lighting up their opponents. South Alabama should be able to keep this game within reach and cover the big spread.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: SOUTH ALABAMA +16