Florida State vs. Duke Total Pick

College Football Picks: Florida State vs. Duke Total Set Too Low? 10/11/17

Is Saturday's betting total for the Florida State and Duke ACC clash set too low? Let's dive into the matchup.

Game Info

Who: Florida State (1-3) at Duke (4-2)

When: 12:00PM ET, Saturday, October 14

Where: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, North Carolina

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 43.5 points after hitting the board at 45. Duke, meanwhile, is now a 7-point home underdog versus the Seminoles, who opened as an 8-point favorite.

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Florida State Betting Trends

The Seminoles are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five road games and are 6-1-1 at the betting window in their last eight games coming off an ATS loss. That said, they're just 0-3-1 against the number in their last four games overall as they continue to struggle without starting quarterback Deondre Francois (knee, out for the season).

Duke Betting Trends

The Blue Devils have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games, are 14-5 against the number in their last 19 games versus a team with a  losing record, and are 22-8-1 at the betting window in their last 31 games played in October. They've covered in nine of their last 13 games overall, as well.

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OUR PREDICTION: The under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between these two teams, is 8-2 in the Blue Devils' last 10 home games, and has cashed in eight of their last 11 conference games as well. On the other side, the under has cashed in four straight Florida State games, is 4-0 in the Seminoles' last four road games, and is 4-0 in their last four games against ACC opponents as well. Given the struggles of FSU's offense, this one will be close, but it should be a low-scoring game throughout.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 PICK: FLORIDA STATE/DUKE UNDER 43.5

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