Penn State vs. Iowa Total Prediction
Will No. 17 Iowa find itself in another low-scoring, defensive battle when the Hawkeyes host No. 10 Penn State Saturday night at 7:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
203 Penn State vs. 204 Iowa
Saturday, October 12, 2019
7:30PM ET – Kinnick Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Penn State is favored on the road, as the Nittany Lions are getting odds of -3.5 points against Iowa. The over/under total for the contest is listed at just 41.5 points. The public betting currently has 53 percent going on Iowa as the home underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Penn State stays perfect
The Penn State football team improved to 5-0 on the season last weekend with a 35-7 win over Purdue at home. The Nittany Lions are 2-0 in the Big Ten, 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 with the under.
The Nittany Lions are strong on both sides of the ball, rankings in the top 10 nationally in offensive and defensive scoring. The defense is giving up just 7.4 points and 240.4 yards per game while the offense is putting up 47 points and 500.2 yards per outing. Sean Clifford is leading the team with 1,443 passing yards and 12 touchdowns while also rushing for 200 yards and two scores. KJ Hamler has been his top receiver. He has 19 catches for 394 yards and four touchdowns. Journey Brown is Penn State’s leading rusher with 217 yards, but he is questionable to play on Saturday due to a knee injury.
Iowa falls flat at Michigan
The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a 10-3 loss at Michigan last weekend, failing to produce much offense despite a strong defensive showing. Iowa is now 4-1 on the year, 1-1 in the Big Ten, 2-3 against the spread and 3-1-1 with the under.
Iowa ranks third nationally in defense, allowing just 8.8 points per game while holding opponents to only 255 yards per outing. The problem with the team is on offense. Iowa is producing just 27.4 points and 424.2 yards per game. Nate Stanley has thrown for 1,225 yards and eight touchdowns this year to lead the offense while Makhi Sargent has rushed for 311 yards and two scores. Ihmir Smith-Marsette is the team’s leading receiver with 19 catches for 314 yards and three scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Nittany Lions have hit the under in five straight Big Ten games, but have hit the over in 11 of their last 15 against winning teams.
The Hawkeyes are 4-1 with the under in their last five games against a winning team, but 4-1 with the over in their last five games following a loss.
These two have hit the over in three of their last four meetings due to Penn State’s scoring. However, the last meeting in Iowa produced just 40 points total. Iowa’s defense is for real. It showed last week that it would lock up most opponents, even on the road. I would expect PSU to hit a wall going to Iowa. The Nittany Lions have been held in check by lesser defenses at home. I would expect Iowa to also struggle on offense. The Hawkeyes just aren’t very dynamic or explosive, so it shouldn’t make things too challenging for Penn State to get stops either.
College Football Week 7 Prediction: Penn State/Iowa Under 41.5