Baylor vs. Texas Total Prediction
The Texas Longhorns turned an offensive explosion into a win last week in the Red River Showdown. Will their offense show up again on Saturday afternoon when they host the Baylor Bears at 3:30 p.m. ET?
3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 13, 2018
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Longhorns are 14-point favorites to beat the Bears. The total, meanwhile, sits at 61.5 points. As of this writing, 54% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Longhorns.
Baylor sophomore QB Charlie Brewer went 30-of-44 for 296 yards, a touchdown and an interception in Saturday's 37-34 triumph against Kansas State. He also ran for a touchdown. Kansas State came in wanting to keep Brewer in the pocket and limit his ability to push the ball down the field to his stud receivers, and they mostly succeeded on both accounts. Brewer only accounted for 10 rushing yards and his long pass went for a mere 21 yards. But Brewer showed solid efficiency with heavy usage in a back-and-forth, must-win game against a Big 12 opponent. For today, that'll do. Baylor, 4-2, travels to rival Texas next week.
Texas sophomore QB Sam Ehlinger completed 24-of-35 passes for 314 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 72 yards and three additional scores in Saturday's 48-45 upset of Oklahoma. Just a beautiful game by Ehlinger in this one. He accounted for a pair of scores in the second quarter, then came out of halftime to account for three more. On the strength of this output, the Longhorns held a 45-24 lead heading into the fourth quarter. OU then stormed back with 21 unanswered points before Texas finally regained its footing to set up a game-winning 40-yard field goal off the foot of Cameron Dicker in the closing seconds of the game. The Longhorns improved to 5-1 with the huge win. Since losing to Maryland in their opener, Texas has notched notable wins over USC, TCU and now Oklahoma. They very much look like a team that could win the Big 12 the way they're playing. A home showdown with Baylor shows next on the schedule.
The over is 6-1 in the Bears’ last seven games overall and is 4-1 in their last five road games.
The under is 6-2 in the Longhorns’ last eight games played in October.
After the scored 40-plus points in their win over Oklahoma last week, the thought process might be to take the over in another Texas game. That said, I think the Longhorns get back to playing quality defense this week. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams, is 39-14 in the Longhorns’ last 53 conference games, and is 44-20 in their last 64 games overall.
College Football Prediction: Bayor/Texas under 61.5