Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Total Pick
When two physical defenses meet up on Saturday at 3:30PM ET, will it be a low-scoring battle between No. 8 Wisconsin and Michigan State?
Game Snapshot & Odds
177 Michigan State vs. 178 Wisconsin
Saturday, October 12, 2019
3:30PM ET – Camp Randall Stadium
TV: Big Ten Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Wisconsin is the favorite at home, as the Badgers are getting odds of -10.5 points against Michigan State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 40 points. The public betting currently has 68 percent going on Wisconsin as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Spartans outclassed by Ohio State
Michigan State was soundly beaten last week on the road by Ohio State, 34-10. The Spartans fell to 4-2 on the year with the loss. They are 2-1 in the Big Ten, 2-4 against the spread and 3-3 with the over/under total.
MSU has a defense that is pretty strong. The Spartans are giving up just 18.2 points and 300.2 yards per game this season. Offensively, Michigan State is putting up 27.8 points and 393.5 yards per game this year. Brian Lewerke is leading the offense with 1,543 yards passing and 11 touchdowns while rushing for 143 yards. Elijah Collins has 476 rushing yards and three scores while Darrell Stewart Jr. has 41 receptions for 624 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, MSU is led by Joe Bachie, who has 58 tackles, 3.5 sacks and one interception.
Badgers dominant on defense
Wisconsin has been very impressive on defense this year, as they have pitched three shutouts already in 2019. That includes a 48-0 win over Kent State last weekend. Wisconsin is 5-0 on the year, 2-0 in the Big Ten, 4-1 against the spread and 3-2 with the under.
On the season, Wisconsin has the nation’s top defense. The Badgers are allowing just 5.8 points and 182 yards per game thus far. The defense is being led by Zack Baun, who has 23 tackles and six sacks. Offensively, Wisconsin has been solid as well. The Badgers are putting up 43.4 points and 457 yards per game. Running back Jonathan Taylor is leading the team with 745 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns while Jack Coan has thrown for 939 yards and seven touchdowns. Quintez Cephus is the leading receiver with 17 catches for 263 yards and two touchdowns. Taylor also has 114 receiving yards and four scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Spartans are 5-1 with the under in their last six road games and 8-2 with the under in their last 10 Big Ten games.
The Badgers are 8-3 with the under in their last 11 games overall and 5-2 with the under in their last seven home games.
These two have hit the under in their last two meetings, putting up less than 40 points in both contests. MSU has an offense that has been very inconsistent and has struggled with blocking. The Spartans don’t have much for depth in the run game either, which is going to be a problem against this Wisconsin defense. For the Badgers, they have an impressive run game, but MSU’s run defense is one of the best it will come up against. I think the Badgers are going to run into problems offensively, which will keep the score quite low.
College Football Week 7 Prediction: Michigan State/Wisconsin Under 40