Texas vs. Oklahoma Prediction & Odds

Texas vs. Oklahoma 10/8/22 Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Unranked rivals Texas and Oklahoma head to Dallas to face each other at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday. Can the Longhorns win, cover the 9-point spread as neutral-site favorites, and improve their conference record to 2-1?

Texas is 3-2 on the year, with wins over Louisiana-Monroe, UTSA, and West Virginia. They lost to Alabama and Texas Tech. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS on the season. 

Oklahoma is 3-2 on the year with non-conference wins over UTEP, Kent State, and Nebraska. The Sooners lost their first two conference games to Kansas State and TCU. The Sooners are 2-3 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

383 Texas Longhorns -9 at 384 Oklahoma Sooners +9; O/U 65.5

12:00 PM ET Saturday, October 8th, 2022

Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX

Texas vs. Oklahoma Public Betting Information

The public is favoring the Longhorns in this game. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that 67% of public bets are on Texas -9. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around. 

Texas Game Notes

True freshman quarterback Quinn Ewers will make his much-anticipated return against Oklahoma on Saturday. Ewers injured his non-throwing shoulder during the first half of the Alabama game in week 2 and has been out of the Longhorns’ lineup ever since. Ewers was the #1 quarterback recruit in the class of 2022 and the Southlake, TX native is one of the most highly-touted prospects in Texas history. Before he was injured against the Crimson Tide, Quinn Ewers was lighting up the Alabama defense. He was 9 for 12 for 134 yards with a 96.8 QBR before being knocked out of the game. Texas ended up losing that game 20-19, but many believe that the outcome would have been different if Ewers had played the entire contest. He’ll get a shot to showcase his ability against an Oklahoma defense that is 94th out of 131 FBS schools in yards allowed per game. 

Oklahoma State Game Notes               

Sooners head coach Brent Venables and Oklahoma might be in big trouble. They lost their first two Big 12 games to Kansas State and TCU by giving up 96 points combined. They permitted 668 yards against TCU last week alone and got blown out by a score of 55-24. As bad as that result was, the outlook may be worse going forward. Sooners quarterback Dillon Gabriel was knocked out of the TCU game with a head injury, and it’s looking like he won’t play against Texas on Saturday. If Gabriel can’t play, Oklahoma might be forced to employ a quarterback rotation made up of Pittsburgh transfer Davis Beville and walk-on junior college transfer General Booty. General Booty is the nephew of former USC quarterback John David Booty. As bad as things have been for Oklahoma, they might be about to get worse on Saturday.  

Texas vs. Oklahoma State Betting Trends

Texas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

The under is 4-1 in Texas's last 5 games in October.

The under is 6-2 in Texas’s last 8 conference games.

Texas is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Oklahoma.

Texas vs. Oklahoma Betting Prediction

This is a worst-case scenario for Oklahoma and their new head coach Brent Venables. The Sooners opened their conference schedule by losing to Kansas State and TCU and in the process, they lost their starting quarterback and are forced to play one or more inexperienced QBs in a rivalry game. The fact that Texas gets their own stud quarterback back in action for this game only makes things worse. Texas’s defense is a bit underrated too, as they’re 17th in the country in opponent yards allowed per play (4.6). I think the return of Quinn Ewers for the Longhorns and the lack of Dillon Gabriel for the Sooners is the difference in this game. I think Texas wins and covers the spread. 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 6 PREDICTION: TEXAS LONGHORNS -9

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