Auburn vs. Mississppi State Prediction

College Football Week 5 Auburn vs. Mississippi State Predictions 10/8/16

Will Mississippi State cover as a small home underdog this afternoon when it hosts Auburn at 12:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Bulldogs are 2.5-point home underdogs versus the Tigers while the over/under currently sits at 54.5 points. While the side hasn’t moved, the over/under opened at 52.5 before jumping two full points to 54.5.

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The Tigers have been a great bet recently, covering in five of their last six games overall. That said, they’ve failed to cover in nine of their last 13 conference games, are 2-8 against the number in their last 10 games coming off a win, and are 11-24 at the betting window in their last 35 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

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While Auburn hasn’t been a good play in SEC games, Mississippi State has covered in 16 of its last 22 conference games. The Bulldogs are also an impressive 18-4 against the spread in their last 22 home games versus a team with a winning road record and are a perfect 5-0 against the number in their last five games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Tigers are winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four games versus the Bulldogs, while the underdog has covered in four of the last five meetings between these two teams. Auburn is averaging 269.8 yards per game on the ground this season but Mississippi State’s run defense has been a strength this year (110.8 yards allowed per game, fourth in the SEC). With the Bulldogs coming off a bye, look for them to be well-rested and prepared to take down the Tigers as a small home dog.


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