Minnesota vs. Purdue Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Purdue is favored at home in this game, as the Boilermakers are getting odds of -4 points against the Gophers. The over/under total for the contest has been listed at 46.5 points. Minnesota has won four straight over Purdue, and the two have hit the over in five straight meetings. Today’s game takes place from Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana and will air live on ESPN2.
Purdue is coming off its bye week following a 28-10 loss at home to Michigan. The Boilermakers are now 2-2 on the season and 0-1 in the Big Ten. Purdue is 3-1 with the under this season. The Boilermakers have been competitive defensively this year, allowing just 21.8 points and 386.5 yards per game. On offense, Purdue is posting only 29.3 points and 392 yards per contest. The Boilermakers have worked in two quarterbacks but David Blough, who has thrown for 629 yards and six touchdowns, is dealing with a shoulder injury. He is listed as probable to play. Elijah Sindelar has thrown for 366 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions, joining Blough at QB. Tario Fuller is the team’s leading rusher with 261 yards and two touchdowns.
Minnesota is coming off a 31-24 loss at home to Maryland on Saturday to fall to 3-1 on the season and 0-1 in the Big Ten. The Gophers are 2-2 with the over/under this season, hitting the over in their lone road game. Outside of last week’s loss, Minnesota has been pretty good on defense. The Gophers are allowing 13.8 points and 283.3 yards per game. On offense, the Gophers are putting up 30.8 points and 367.8 yards per contest. Rodney Smith is leading the offense with 310 rushing yards while Shannon Brooks has added 199 yards and five touchdowns. Conor Rhoda has thrown for 685 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions.
I feel like the under is going to hit, but the trends say go with the over. I trust the trends for this one. Purdue has hit the over in six of its last seven games after a double-digit loss at home. The Boilermakers have also hit it in 11 of their last 14 home games. Minnesota is 5-2 with the over in its last seven conference games. Minnesota’s offense hasn’t been great, but the Gophers should manufacture some scoring drives. I think Purdue will have success moving the ball at home, as the Gophers were exposed somewhat last week.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: MINNESOTA/PURDUE OVER 46.5