Michigan St. vs. Ohio St. Prediction

Michigan State Spartans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes, 10/5/19 Predictions & Odds

Can No. 4 Ohio State dominate another opponent tonight when the Buckeyes host No. 25 Michigan State at 7:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

391 Michigan State vs. 392 Ohio State

Saturday, October 5, 2019

7:30PM ET – Ohio Stadium


Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Ohio State is the clear favorite in this game, as the Buckeyes are getting odds of -20 points against Michigan State. The over/under total is listed at just 49 points. The public betting currently has 65 percent going on Ohio State as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Ohio State looking unstoppable

Ohio State has looked unstoppable this season and the Buckeyes are coming off a 48-7 win at Nebraska last weekend to improve to 5-0 on the year. Ohio State is 2-0 in the Big Ten, 4-1 against the spread and 2-2-1 with the over/under total

It’s hard to find a better balance of offense and defense this year than what Ohio State is doing. The Buckeyes are giving up just 8.6 points and 224.2 yards per game on defense. Both of those stats rank in the top 5 nationally. On offense, OSU is putting up 52.4 points and 536.2 yards per game. Those both rank in the top 10 in the nation. Justin Fields has thrown for 1,092 yards and 16 touchdowns with no interceptions while also rushing for 222 yards and seven scores. J.K. Dobbins is the leading rusher with 654 yards and five touchdowns while Binjimen Victory is the leading receiver in a balanced group. He has 15 catches for 269 yards and two touchdowns. Jeff Okudah has 16 tackles and three interceptions to lead the defense.

MSU fends off Indiana

Michigan State got a win last week at home, but were given a big scare by Indiana in a 40-31 victory. The Spartans are 4-1 on the season, 2-0 in the Big Ten, 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 with the over.

Despite the letdown last weekend, the Michigan State defense has been one of the stronger units in the nation. The Spartans are giving up just 15 points and 254.4 yards per game this year. Offensively, MSU hasn’t been terribly impressive, averaging 31.4 points and 414.8 yards per contest. Quarterback Brian Lewerke has thrown for 1,325 yards and 10 touchdowns, while rushing for 147 yards as well. Elijah Collins has emerged as the team’s feature back with 413 rushing yards and three touchdowns, while Darrell Stewart Jr. has become the top receiver with 35 catches for 556 yards and three touchdowns. Kenny Willekes is leading the defense with 34 tackles and four sacks.

College Football Betting Trends

Ohio State

The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last seven following a win and in four straight Big Ten games.

Michigan State

The Spartans are just 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last five against a winning team.


Michigan State has been a pesky team for Ohio State. The Buckeyes have won three straight in the series and covered in the last two, but MSU has held Ohio State to 26 points or less in three of the last four meetings. The MSU defense is legit and will be the biggest challenge the Buckeyes have had yet. I don’t expect Ohio State to run over the MSU defensive front and we don’t know if Fields has what it takes to beat a team just with his arm. MSU’s offense isn’t as bad as it was a year ago, but also has a questionable offensive line. Lewerke will need the best game of his career today for MSU to have a chance at an upset. Despite that, MSU has went into OSU before as a big underdog and won multiple times. I think the Spartans thrive on being the underdog and will be up for this game and giving Ohio State a real game. I like the Spartans with the points.

College Football Week 6 Prediction: Michigan State +20

Related: Michigan State vs. Ohio State Total Prediction

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