Florida State vs. Miami Pick

Is the over a safe bet when Florida State takes on Miami in Week 6? 10/8/16

ACC rivals Florida State and Miami clash on Saturday night at 8:00PM ET in what should be a high-scoring affair in Week 6.

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Hurricanes are now 3-point home favorites versus the Seminoles after Florida State opened as a 2-point underdog. As for the total, the number hasn't moved at hitting the board at 65 earlier this week.

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Florida State lost for the second time this season last week in a 37-35 defeat at home as a 10.5-point favorite versus North Carolina. It was the Seminoles second loss in three games dating back to their embarrassing 63-20 loss at Louisville three weeks ago. FSU is now 3-2 straight up and 2-2 against the spread in its four lined games in 2016.

The Hurricanes enter play on Saturday night a perfect 4-0 to start the season. They're also 4-0 against the spread, covering as a 52-point favorite (vs. FAMU), as a 25-point home favorite (vs. Florida Atlantic), as a 4.5-point favorite (at Appalachian State), and as a 7.5-point favorite (at Georgia Tech last week). Miami boasts the No. 7 overall defense in the nation in terms of total yards allowed and is second in the country in points allowed (11.0).

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OUR PICK: The over is now 4-1 in the Seminoles' last five games overall, is 4-1 in their last five games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game, and is 5-2 in their last seven games coming off a failed cover. The over is also 5-2 in the Hurricanes' last seven conference games, is 5-2 in their last seven home games versus an opponent that owns a winning road record, and has cashed in five of seven games after allowed less than 170 yards passing in their previous contest.



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