TCU vs. Texas Week 5 Prediction

TCU vs. Texas, 10/3/20 College Football Week 5 Betting Predictions

No. 9 Texas will look to run its record to 3-0 on the season while TCU attempts to get in the win column when the two teams face off in Austin on Saturday at Noon ET. With the spread dropping three full points and the total climbing two full points, what’s the optimal play for bettors?

Game Snapshot

141 TCU Horned Frogs (+10) at 142 Texas Longhorns (-10); o/u 63

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX

12:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 3, 2020

TCU Horned Frogs Game Notes

TCU sophomore QB Max Duggan (heart) came off the bench to go 16-for-19 for 241 yards, three scores and an interception in Saturday's 37-34 loss to Iowa State. The interception was actually a drop by one of his receivers. Duggan (6'2/201) only recently returned to the practice field after being sidelined in late-August when a childhood heart condition was discovered during a COVID-19 screening. He began this game as Matthew Downing’s backup, but HC Gary Patterson returned to Duggan as TCU’s passing game bogged down. After watching Duggan play, it leaves one wondering if the Horned Frogs would be 1-0 if Duggan had played the entire game.

Texas Longhorns Game Notes

Texas senior QB Sam Ehlginer (quad, left hand) is expected to play on Saturday against TCU. It is unlikely Ehlinger (6'3/225) will be 100% by Saturday, but he is expected to play. The senior QB took some lumps last weekend against Texas Tech in a wild comeback. At least it was nothing serious enough to knock him out for an extended period of time. Through two games this season, Ehlinger has thrown for 688 yards, 10 touchdowns, and one interception on 73 attempts.

TCU vs. Texas Betting Prediction

The Horned Frogs have covered in five of the previous six meetings between these two teams but are just 1-4 against the number in their last five road games overall. They’re also 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 games coming off a loss, are 6-15 against the number in their last 21 conference games and have dropped 12 of their last 17 games at the betting window when facing an opponent with a winning record. Texas, meanwhile, is 4-1 against the number in its last five games overall and has covered the spread in four of its last five games coming off a win. The home team is also 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams.


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