Tulsa vs. SMU Prediction
Can No. 24 SMU continue to prove it belongs in the national picture when the Mustangs play host to Tulsa on Saturday at 7:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
353 Tulsa vs. 354 SMU
Saturday, October 5, 2019
7:30PM ET – Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, SMU is the favorite at home, as the Mustangs are getting odds of -13 points against Tulsa. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 62 points. The public betting currently has 74 percent going on SMU as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Tulsa edges Wyoming
The Tulsa Golden Hurricanes had a bye last week, but picked up a narrow 24-21 win over Wyoming two weeks ago. Tulsa is set to begin AAC play on Saturday with a 2-2 overall record. The Hurricanes are 2-2 against the spread and 4-0 with the under.
Tulsa hasn’t had the offense we’ve seen it have in previous seasons. The Hurricanes are averaging just 21.5 points and 363 yards per game this season. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 26.2 points and 378.5 yards per game this season. Quarterback Zach Smith has thrown for 1,018 yards and five touchdowns to lead the offense while Shamari Brooks has rushed for 314 yards and four scores. Sam Crawford Jr. is the leading receiver with 22 catches for 329 yards and two touchdowns.
SMU off to shocking start
SMU has been the surprise team of the season thus far, as the Mustangs are off to a 5-0 start following a 48-21 win at USF last weekend. The Mustangs also own a win at TCU this year. They are 1-0 in the AAC, 5-0 against the spread and 5-0 with the over.
Southern Methodist has a strong offense that ranks in the top 15 in the nation. SMU is putting up 44.4 points and 510.6 yards per game this season. The defense can’t quite say the same, as they are giving up 26.6 points and 363.4 yards per contest. Shane Buechele is having a strong year under center, throwing for 1,385 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Xavier Jones is leading the ground game with 525 yards and 10 scores while Reggie Roberson Jr. has 30 catches for 510 yards and three touchdowns. Patrick Nelson is leading the defense with 27 tackles and 5.5 sacks.
College Football Betting Trends
The Golden Hurricanes are 10-1 with the under in their last 11 against a winning team and 9-2 with the under in their last 11 road games.
SMU has hit the over in five of its last seven home games, but has hit the under in six straight games in October.
Tulsa has won four of its last five against SMU and the Hurricanes have covered the spread in three of the last four meetings. The Hurricanes have had some strong opponents already in games with Oklahoma State and Michigan State. I think those games will help them on the road this week. I don’t doubt that SMU is for real, but the Mustangs haven’t faced the same level of competition. Tulsa knows a lot about SMU and how to best attack the Mustangs and I think this game will be a grind for SMU to pull out.
College Football Week 6 Prediction: Tulsa +13